The CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score reflects clinical outcomes in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients with an initial cardioembolic stroke.

Background: Whether the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score reflects severity or clinical outcomes in patients with an initial cardioembolic stroke associated with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NAVF) was investigated.

Methods: This study included 327 patients hospitalized between April 2007 and March 2012 for an initial cardioembolic stroke associated with NVAF with no history of stroke. The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission and clinical outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score after 90 days) were retrospectively evaluated according to the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score.

Results: CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores were 0, 3.1%; 1, 9.1%; 2, 24.5%; 3, 26%; 4, 20.8%; 5, 14.4%; and 6, 2.1%. The median NIHSS scores for CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores of 0-6 were 4.5, 8, 8, 10, 11, 17, and 23, respectively. Severity differed according to the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score. The clinical outcomes according to the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores were as follows: score 0, mRS scores of 0-2 (80%) and 3-6 (20%); score 1, mRS scores of 0-2 (80%) and 3-6 (20%); score 2, mRS scores of 0-2 (64%) and 3-6 (36%); score 3, mRS scores of 0-2 (48%) and 3-6 (52%); score 4, mRS scores of 0-2 (28%) and 3-6 (72%); score 5, mRS scores of 0-2 (26%) and 3-6 (74%); and score 6, mRS scores of 0-2 (29%) and 3-6 (71%). The clinical outcome worsened as the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score increased. On logistic regression analysis, age, NIHSS score on admission, and thrombolytic therapy were related to a clinical outcome.

Conclusions: The severity of NVAF-induced initial cardioembolic stroke increased with higher CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores, and the outcomes were poor. The present study suggests that the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score may be useful not only for the evaluation of stroke risk but also for the prediction of clinical outcomes after stroke.