A large coking contaminated site was selected to study the PAHs' spatial distribution probability in surface-soil (0-50 cm) through the indicator kriging of the non-parametric geostatistics, and the map of probability distribution with a contaminant target was plotted over the entire site. Results indicated that the indicator semivariograms were stable after the conversion of sample data, but the poor correlation of spatial samples was observed due to the spatial variability. In this site, the distribution of the contamination probability of four PAHs' showed a similar characteristic, and the areas with a probability of more than 45% were mainly distributed in production process workshops for coking, gas purification, tar products etc, of the central, northwest and southeast site with serious contamination, while the areas with a probability of less than 45% were mainly distributed in coal preparation, gas purification workshops of the southwest and northeast site. Based on the above analysis results, we can draw a conclusion that the forecast probability results are consistent with the occurrence and distribution of pollution sources, which is important for defining the remediation boundary and calculating the contaminated soil volume.

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