Mortality risk after preoperative versus postoperative chemotherapy and radiotherapy in lymph node-positive rectal cancer.

Introduction: Persistent lymph node-positive disease after preoperative radiotherapy for rectal cancer is associated with adverse outcomes. We quantified mortality risks of persistent pathologic lymph nodes in lymph node-positive rectal cancer patients treated with preoperative versus postoperative chemoradiation.

Methods: This was a retrospective population-based analysis of 2,038 patients with stage III rectal cancer diagnosed 1994-2005 with follow-up through 2007 using data from the California Cancer Registry. Survival estimates were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate cancer-specific and overall mortality analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazard ratios with adjustment for age, gender, race/ethnicity, tumor grade, T stage, N stage, socioeconomic status, and time period (1994-1997, 1998-2001, and 2002-2005).

Results: Overall survival was higher among lymph node-positive patients receiving postoperative chemoradiation compared to lymph node-positive patients receiving preoperative chemoradiation (median overall survival = 87 versus 62 months, P = 0.0002). In adjusted analyses, patients with persistent lymph node-positive disease after preoperative chemoradiation treatment had increased overall (HR = 1.69; 95 % CI, 1.42-2.01) and CRC-specific (HR = 1.78; 95 % CI, 1.44-2.19) mortality risk compared to lymph node-positive disease after postoperative chemoradiation treatment.

Conclusions: Stage III rectal cancer patients with persistent pathologic lymph nodes after preoperative chemoradiation represent a high-risk group, with higher mortality than those treated with postoperative chemoradiation.