Prognostic value of abnormal postexercise systolic blood pressure response: prehospital discharge test after myocardial infarction in Japan.

To assess the prognostic value of an abnormal postexercise response in systolic blood pressure (SBP), treadmill exercise testing was performed in 217 survivors of acute myocardial infarction at an average of 9.3 weeks after infarction. During the mean follow-up period of 4 years, cardiac events were noted in 34 patients (16%), including cardiac death in 13 (6%), nonfatal reinfarction in 12 (6%), and coronary artery bypass graft surgery in nine (4%). An abnormal postexercise SBP response was defined as the ratio of SBP at 3 minutes of recovery to peak exercise SBP of 0.9 or more, on the basis of the cutoff point with the highest sensitivity and specificity to predict cardiac events. An abnormal postexercise SBP response occurred in 90 patients (42%). Patients with an abnormal postexercise SBP response had more exercise-induced myocardial ischemia. more left ventricular impairment, and more extensive coronary artery lesions than those without. Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that the abnormal postexercise SBP response was ranked first in ability to predict cardiac death (p = 0.025, relative risk 15.41). Bypass surgery was associated with an abnormal postexercise SBP ratio (p less than 0.05). Nonfatal reinfarction could not be predicted by any clinical or exercise variables. In conclusion, an abnormal postexercise SBP response could be useful for predicting cardiac death and the need for bypass surgery after myocardial infarction. This response is probably the result of myocardial ischemia and left ventricular impairment.