Objective: To build a deterministic compartmental model for exploring the effects on the transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) of a population abstaining from sex or practising only "safe" sex for one month each year.
Methods: A model of HIV transmission was built to simulate the effects of the intervention (i.e. an annual no-sex or safe-sex month in which no transmission occurred) in three countries, under several optimistic assumptions. The reduction in the modelled annual incidence of transmission that was attributable to this "test" intervention was compared with that seen with an alternative intervention. In the latter, monthly incidences of transmission were each reduced by one twelfth, so that, essentially, the month-long interruption was spread evenly across a full year.
Findings: Over the first modelled year, the test intervention averted only 2.5% (Kenya), 3.3% (South Africa) and 1.6% (Swaziland) more HIV infections than the alternative interruption. According to the model, if the test intervention were repeated each January, it would avert only 2% (Kenya), 2% (South Africa) and 1% (Swaziland) more HIV infections over 5 years than the alternative intervention.
Conclusion: Although it did not appear markedly more effective than the alternative intervention, the test intervention may still be more feasible and therefore worthwhile. Before the test intervention can be recommended, the cost-effectiveness and feasibility of such an annual month-long break in HIV transmission need to be assessed and compared with those of other interventions that may reduce new HIV infections, such as circumcision and concurrency-reduction campaigns.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3397698 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.2471/BLT.11.088641 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Genetic predisposition of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a population-based genome-wide association study.
Hepatol Int
January 2025
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Background/purpose: Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has been proposed to replace the diagnosis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with new diagnostic criteria since 2023, the genetic predisposition of MASLD remains to be explored.
Methods: Participants with data of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in the Taiwan Biobank database were collected. Patients with missing data, positive for HBsAg, anti-HCV, and alcohol drinking history were excluded.
Demographic and clinical trends of young breast cancer patients from the national cancer database: disproportionate effect on minority populations.
Breast Cancer Res Treat
January 2025
Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, 8700 Beverly Blvd., Los Angeles, CA, 90048, USA.
Purpose: There is an increasing incidence of young breast cancer (YBC) patients with uncertainty surrounding the factors and patterns that are contributing.
Methods: We obtained characteristics and survival data from 206,156 YBC patients (≤ 40 years of age) diagnosed between 2005 and 2019 from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). Patients were subdivided into two comparison groups based on year of diagnosis (2005-2009, Old vs.
Background: Primary care physicians (PCPs) and nurse practitioners play a key role in guiding caregivers on early peanut protein (PP) introduction, yet many lack adequate knowledge.
Aim Statement: This quality improvement study aimed to enhance understanding among PCPs and caregivers about evidence-based guidelines for early PP introduction in infants' diets.
Methods: Using the Stetler Model, PCP knowledge was evaluated through pre-test, educational video and some posttest material.
Outcomes of Surgical Interventions for Patellofemoral Instability in the Presence of Trochlear Dysplasia: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.
Am J Sports Med
January 2025
Department of Pharmacology and Biostatistics, College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Background: Patellar instability is frequently encountered by orthopaedic surgeons. One of the major risk factors of this condition is underlying trochlear dysplasia (TD). Recent trends have indicated the use of multiple procedures to correct patellar instability under these conditions.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFExploring the Relationship Between Combined, Acetabular, and Femoral Version on Postoperative Outcomes 2 Years After Hip Arthroscopy for Femoroacetabular Impingement Syndrome.
Am J Sports Med
January 2025
Section of Young Adult Hip Surgery, Division of Sports Medicine, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Background: Many studies have examined the prevalence of acetabular version (AV) and femoral version (FV) abnormalities and their effect on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) after hip arthroscopy for femoroacetabular impingement syndrome (FAIS), but few have explored the prevalence and influence of combined version (CV) abnormalities.
Purpose: To (1) describe the distribution of AV, FV, and CV in the largest cohort to date and (2) determine the relationship between AV, FV, and CV and PROs after hip arthroscopy for FAIS.
Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3.
Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!