Unobserved time effects confound the identification of climate change impacts.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.

Published: July 2012

A recent study by Feng et al. [Feng S, Krueger A, Oppenheimer M (2010) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 107:14257-14262] in PNAS reported statistical evidence of a weather-driven causal effect of crop yields on human migration from Mexico to the United States. We show that this conclusion is based on a different statistical model than the one stated in the paper. When we correct for this mistake, there is no evidence of a causal link.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3409766PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1202049109DOI Listing

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