We defend the hypothesis that life-spanning population survivorship curves, as described by Gompertz' law and composed from cross-sectional data (here mortality), reflect an intrinsic aging principle active in each subject of that population. In other words Gompertz' law reflects aging of a prototypical subject, provided minimal (or no) external causes of death (i.e. fatal infections, starvation, accidents). Our approach deviates from the traditional (exponential) Gompertz' hazard function. For instance, the here formulated Gompertz' law accurately describes old-age deceleration of both all-cause mortality and the incidence of some ageing-associated cancers, as illustrated for the Dutch population. We consider the possibility that the old-age expression and progression of cancer and other pathologies becomes suppressed, because of random (and exponential) accumulation of damage during life. Gompertz' law may trigger new concepts and models describing life-spanning physiological and pathological processes of aging. We discuss (and reject) various aging models (e.g. a predominant role of individual variations at birth; reliability theory) and point to the explanatory potential of network models and systemic regulatory models.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mehy.2012.02.004 | DOI Listing |
Anesthesiology
December 2024
Department of Anaesthesiology, University of Auckland, Grafton, New Zealand; Department of Anaesthesia and Perioperative Medicine, Auckland City Hospital, Grafton, New Zealand.
Heliyon
September 2024
Gaozhou Natural Aquatic Products Co., Ltd, Maoming, 525200, China.
Deep-fried breaded tilapia nuggets (DFBTNs) have good market prospects as a tilapia deep-processed product. In this study, we used pre-optimized DFBTNs to simulate the mass change from storage to consumption and investigated the changes in storage shelf-life and frying mass transfer kinetics of DFBTNs. Microbial growth trend and shelf-life prediction models at different storage temperatures were developed using a modified Gompertz equation.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFYing Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao
June 2024
2 Baihe Forestry Bureau of Jilin Province, Yanbian 133613, Jilin, China.
Biogerontology
November 2024
Department of Carcinogenesis and Oncogerontology, N.N. Petrov National Medical Research Center of Oncology, 68 Leningradskaya ul., Pesochny-2, Saint Petersburg, 197758, Russia.
According to the Gompertz law, the age-dependent change in the logarithm of mortality (life-table aging rate, LAR) is equal to the population-averaged age-independent biological aging rate (γ), and LAR would be constant if aging were the only cause of mortality increase. However, LAR is influenced by population exposures to the external hazards. If they were constant, according to the Gompertz-Makeham law (GML), LAR would be below γ at lower ages and asymptotically and monotonically approach γ with increasing age.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBiogerontology
October 2024
NORC at the University of Chicago, 1155 East 60th Street, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA.
Despite frequent claims regarding radical extensions of human lifespan in the near future, many pragmatic scientists caution against excessive and baseless optimism on this front. In this study, we examine the compensation effect of mortality (CEM) as a potential challenge to substantial lifespan extension. The CEM is an empirical mortality regularity, often depicted as relative mortality convergence at advanced ages.
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