Chain binomial models and binomial autoregressive processes.

Biometrics

Department of Mathematics, Darmstadt University of Technology, Schlossgartenstrasse 7, 64289 Darmstadt, Germany.

Published: September 2012

We establish a connection between a class of chain-binomial models of use in ecology and epidemiology and binomial autoregressive (AR) processes. New results are obtained for the latter, including expressions for the lag-conditional distribution and related quantities. We focus on two types of chain-binomial model, extinction-colonization and colonization-extinction models, and present two approaches to parameter estimation. The asymptotic distributions of the resulting estimators are studied, as well as their finite-sample performance, and we give an application to real data. A connection is made with standard AR models, which also has implications for parameter estimation.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01716.xDOI Listing

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