The aim of this study is to establish a theoretical method for the prediction of human intestinal permeability from in vitro permeation assay. Pore radius and porosity/length and ion selectivity of the paracellular pathway were calculated using the Renkin function using permeabilities of mannitol and urea and potential difference study to evaluate paracellular permeability in Caco-2 cell monolayer; they were calculated to be 5.91 Å, 7.51 cm(-1) and 2.75, respectively. These values in the human epithelium were calculated from the reported intestinal permeability. The area factor, which can correct the difference in the transcellular permeability between Caco-2 cell monolayer and human epithelium, was obtained using the ratio of permeability of high lipophilicity compounds (human/Caco-2) and was calculated to be 13.3. Paracellular and transcellular permeabilities of 9 compounds in human epithelium were estimated on the basis of the characteristics of the paracellular pathway using physicochemical properties of compounds and the area factor, respectively. Human intestinal permeabilities were predicted by the sum of estimated transcellular and paracellular permeabilities. A linear correlation whose slope and intercept were nearly 1 and 0, respectively, was observed between predicted and reported human intestinal permeabilities. We successfully predicted human intestinal permeability from in vitro data.

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