AI Article Synopsis
- The study examines data collection challenges during infectious disease outbreaks, highlighting how quick removal of infected individuals complicates accurate incidence rate estimation.
- The traditional Poisson distribution is found unsuitable for this context, prompting the development of a new probability distribution called the spinned Poisson distribution.
- The properties of the spinned Poisson distribution are explored and demonstrated using historical data on smallpox incidence in Abakaliki, Nigeria.
Article Abstract
Consider a data collection setup during a spread of an infectious disease. Examples include severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) or influenza A virus H3N2. The health management in such scenarios quickly removes the infected cases before the data collection is completed. The estimate of the incidence rate or the chance for anyone to be immune requires using a correct probability distribution. The usual Poisson distribution is inappropriate because of the impact of removing infected cases on the incidence rate as well as observing a new case. An appropriate new probability distribution is derived and is named as spinned Poisson distribution. The statistical properties of the spinned Poisson distribution are developed and illustrated using infectious smallpox incidence in Abakaliki, Nigeria.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7087638 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10729-011-9157-8 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
A contaminated regression model for count health data.
Stat Methods Med Res
January 2025
Department of Economics and Business, University of Catania, Catania, Italy.
In medical and health research, investigators are often interested in countable quantities such as hospital length of stay (e.g., in days) or the number of doctor visits.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAssociations of short-term exposure to air pollution with outpatient visits and treatment costs for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Xinxiang, China (2016-2021).
Sci Total Environ
January 2025
School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan 453003, China. Electronic address:
The acute health effects of air pollution on the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have not been adequately studied and results remain inconsistent. Furthermore, fewer studies have explored the impact of air pollution on the cost of treating patients with COPD. Generalized additive models (GAM) based on Poisson distribution and gamma were applied to evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollution and daily COPD outpatient visits and daily COPD treatment costs.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFNeonatal mortality in 2001-2017 in France: A cause-specific and spatiotemporal analysis.
J Epidemiol Popul Health
January 2025
CépiDc, Inserm, Paris, France; France Cohortes, Inserm, Paris, France.
Background: In France, the infant mortality rate had a long period of decline, but it stopped decreasing after 2010 and then rose. Neonatal mortality is a large part of infant mortality. The aim of this study was thus to describe its main changes, by cause of death and gestational age, and the main changes in socio-spatial distribution, from 2001 to 2017.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA real-world Pharmacovigilance study of brodalumab based on the FDA adverse event reporting system.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Dermatology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, China.
Brodalumab, a humanized monoclonal antibody that targets the interleukin-17 receptor A, is primarily used to manage moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. Although it has demonstrated favorable efficacy and safety in clinical trials, the strict inclusion and exclusion criteria may not fully reflect its safety profile in real-world settings. As its use becomes more widespread in clinical practice, understanding its safety in real-world applications is crucial.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFImproving Resident Physician History and Physical in Challenging Situations.
J Dev Behav Pediatr
January 2025
Department of Pediatrics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL.
Objective: To educate physician trainees using simulation on best management of children with autism spectrum disorder who have neurocognitive and behavioral challenges when experiencing acute illness.
Method: A simulation-based curriculum including baseline assessment, communication techniques, and use of calming resources was developed to educate residents in assessing children with sensory barriers. Traditional simulation and deliberate practice were used to teach this curriculum to second- and third-year pediatric and internal medicine-pediatric residents.
Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!