AI Article Synopsis
- Understanding species and ecosystems' responses to climate change is crucial for ecology and conservation efforts.
- Current climate-biosphere models are too simplistic, making their future projections less reliable.
- Five key areas for improvement include enhancing biodiversity data access, measuring species sensitivity to climate change, integrating community dynamics, considering evolutionary effects, and refining species grouping in models.
Article Abstract
Understanding how species and ecosystems respond to climate change has become a major focus of ecology and conservation biology. Modelling approaches provide important tools for making future projections, but current models of the climate-biosphere interface remain overly simplistic, undermining the credibility of projections. We identify five ways in which substantial advances could be made in the next few years: (i) improving the accessibility and efficiency of biodiversity monitoring data, (ii) quantifying the main determinants of the sensitivity of species to climate change, (iii) incorporating community dynamics into projections of biodiversity responses, (iv) accounting for the influence of evolutionary processes on the response of species to climate change, and (v) improving the biophysical rule sets that define functional groupings of species in global models.
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| http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2011.02.012 | DOI Listing |
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