Background: The level at which arterial carbon dioxide tension (PaCO(2)) a few months after introduction of long-term non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV) is associated with a favorable prognosis remains uncertain.
Methods: Data on 184 post-tuberculosis patients with chronic restrictive ventilatory failure who were receiving long-term domiciliary NPPV were examined retrospectively. Average PaCO(2) 3-6 months after NPPV (3- to 6-mo PaCO(2)) and potential confounders were analyzed with discontinuation of long-term NPPV as the primary outcome. The effects of 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) on annual hospitalization rates due to respiratory deterioration from 1 year before to 3 years after the initiation of NPPV were examined. The effect of the difference between the PaCO(2) value at the start of NPPV (0-mo PaCO(2)) and the PaCO(2) value 3- to 6-mo later (d-PaCO(2)) on continuation rates for NPPV was also assessed in patients who initiated NPPV while in a chronic state.
Results: Patients with relatively low 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) values maintained a relatively low PaCO(2) 6-36 months after NPPV (p < 0.0001) and had significantly better continuation rates (p < 0.03) and lower hospitalization rates from the 1st to 3rd year of NPPV (p = 0.008, 0.049, 0.009, respectively) than those with higher levels. The 0-mo PaCO(2) (p = 0.26) or d-PaCO(2) (p = 0.86) had no predictive value.
Conclusion: A relatively low 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) value was predictive of long-term use of NPPV. The target values for 3- to 6-mo PaCO(2) may, therefore, be less than 60 mmHg in post-tuberculosis patients, although more studies are needed.
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