Modeling optimal intervention strategies for cholera.

Bull Math Biol

Department of Mathematics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996, USA.

Published: November 2010

While cholera has been a recognized disease for two centuries, there is no strategy for its effective control. We formulate a mathematical model to include essential components such as a hyperinfectious, short-lived bacterial state, a separate class for mild human infections, and waning disease immunity. A new result quantifies contributions to the basic reproductive number from multiple infectious classes. Using optimal control theory, parameter sensitivity analysis, and numerical simulations, a cost-effective balance of multiple intervention methods is compared for two endemic populations. Results provide a framework for designing cost-effective strategies for diseases with multiple intervention methods.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-010-9521-8DOI Listing

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