AI Article Synopsis
- The study aims to find factors affecting perinatal and infant mortality rates across different primary care trusts (PCTs) in England, identifying those with worse than expected outcomes.
- The research used complex statistical models that accounted for influences like deprivation, ethnicity, and maternal age to analyze mortality rates, revealing that these factors significantly predicted outcomes.
- Results showed that increased spending on maternal services didn't correlate with lower mortality rates, suggesting that addressing social determinants like socioeconomic status may be more critical.
Article Abstract
Objective: To identify predictors of perinatal and infant mortality variations between primary care trusts (PCTs) and identify outlier trusts where outcomes were worse than expected.
Design: Prognostic multivariable mixed models attempting to explain observed variability between PCTs in perinatal and infant mortality. We used these predictive models to identify PCTs with higher than expected rates of either outcome.
Setting: All primary care trusts in England. Population For each PCT, data on the number of infant and perinatal deaths, ethnicity, deprivation, maternal age, PCT spending on maternal services, and "Spearhead" status.
Main Outcome Measures: Rates of perinatal and infant mortality across PCTs.
Results: The final models for infant mortality and perinatal mortality included measures of deprivation, ethnicity, and maternal age. The final model for infant mortality explained 70% of the observed heterogeneity in outcome between PCTs. The final model for perinatal mortality explained 80.5% of the between-PCT heterogeneity. PCT spending on maternal services did not explain differences in observed events. Two PCTs had higher than expected rates of perinatal mortality.
Conclusions: Social deprivation, ethnicity, and maternal age are important predictors of infant and perinatal mortality. Spearhead PCTs are performing in line with expectations given their levels of deprivation, ethnicity, and maternal age. Higher spending on maternity services using the current configuration of services may not reduce rates of infant and perinatal mortality.
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| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2721034 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.b2892 | DOI Listing |
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