We examined whether polymorphisms upstream of the TNF-alpha gene (TNFA) were associated with the radiological progression of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). One hundred and twenty-three patients with early RA (disease duration <1 year) were enrolled in a prospective follow-up study. The laboratory findings (ESR, CRP, and RF) were evaluated every 2 months for 2 years. Radiological progression in hands/wrists and feet was evaluated every 6 months for 2 years using Larsen's score. HLA-DRB1 genotype was determined by PCR-RFLP method. The genotypes for -1031, -863, and -857 single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the upstream 5'-flanking region of TNFA were determined by a PCR-preferential homoduplex formation assay in patients with RA and 265 healthy controls. Four TNFA alleles (U01, U02, U03, and U04) were identified. The frequency of individuals with U02 was significantly higher in patients than in controls (P = 0.0025). Radiographs of hands/wrists/feet were available for 72 patients after 1 year and for 73 patients after 2 years. When the HLA-DRB1 genotype was analyzed simultaneously, patients possessing U02 without an HLA-DRB1 shared epitope (SE) (U02+SE-) showed the lowest progression of Larsen's score (12 months). There was no difference in the level of ESR, CRP, or RF at the first visit among U02+SE+, U02+SE-, U02-SE+, and U02-SE- groups. The combination of the polymorphism of the TNFA upstream promoter region and HLA-DRB1 allele was associated with radiological progression in the early stage of RA.

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