Clinicopathological predictors to predict sustained viral response rates in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection.

Background: Treatment of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains suboptimal, with the current pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin combination therapy providing sustained viral response (SVR) rates of 54 - 63%. The aim of this study was to identify clinical, laboratory and histological findings that can predict non-response to this treatment.

Methods: Medical records of patients who had completed PEG-IFN and ribavirin therapy for chronic HCV infection between December 2002 and November 2005 and had undergone a liver biopsy prior to starting treatment were retrospectively reviewed. Data on various clinical and biochemical parameters were extracted and liver biopsy slides were reviewed by a pathologist who was blinded to the clinical and laboratory findings.

Results: Of 67 patients studied (mean [SD] age 46.3 [6.3] years; 36 men), 42/57 (74%) had an early viral response (EVR) and 37/64 (58%) had an SVR. On univariate analysis, absence of EVR (p=0.0002), non-white race (p=0.008), AST/ALT ratio > or = 1.0 (p=0.008), INR > or = 1.0 (p=0.02) and presence of steatosis > or = 5% on liver biopsy (p=0.03) were associated with lack of SVR. In multivariate analysis, all of these except INR were significant independent predictors of SVR.

Conclusions: Absence of EVR, non-white race, AST/ALT ratio > or = 1.0 and presence of steatosis > or = 5% on liver biopsy are independent predictors of absence of SVR in patients with chronic HCV infection receiving PEG-IFN and ribavirin combination treatment.