A coupled atmosphere-ocean model is presented for El Niño and the Southern Oscillation that reproduces its major features, including its recurrence at irregular intervals. The interannual El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle is maintained by deterministic interactions in the tropical Pacific region. Ocean dynamics alter sea-surface temperature, changing the atmospheric heating; the resulting changes in surface wind alter the ocean dynamics. Annually varying mean conditions largely determine the spatial pattern and temporal evolution of El Niño events.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.228.4703.1085 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Disruption of boreal lake circulation in response to mid-Holocene warmth; evidence from the varved sediments of Lake Nautajärvi, southern Finland.
Sci Total Environ
January 2025
Department of Geography, Royal Holloway University of London, Surrey, UK.
Future climate projections are expected to have a substantial impact on boreal lake circulation regimes. Understanding lake sensitivity to warmer climates is therefore critical for mitigating potential ecological and societal impacts. The Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM; ca 7-5 ka BP) provides a valuable analogue to investigate lake responses to warmer climates devoid of major anthropogenic influences.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA family of coexisting multi-scroll chaos and its selected control in coupled non-oscillatory neurons: A case study.
Heliyon
January 2025
Unité de Recherche d'Automatique et d'Informatique Appliquée (UR-AIA), IUT-FV Bandjoun University of Dschang, P.O. Box 134, Bandjoun, Cameroon.
This study presents a family of coexisting multi-scroll chaos in a network of coupled non-oscillatory neurons. The dynamics of the system are analyzed using phase portraits, basins of attraction, time series, bifurcation diagrams, and spectra of Lyapunov exponents. The coexistence of multiple bifurcation diagrams leads to a complex pattern of multi-scroll formation, which is further complicated by the presence of coexisting single-scroll attractors that merge to form multi-scroll chaos.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFStress responsiveness in a wild primate predicts survival across an extreme El Niño drought.
Sci Adv
January 2025
Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.
We know more about the costs of chronic stress than the benefits of the acute stress response-an adaptive response that buffers organisms from life-threatening challenges. As yet, no primate study has empirically identified how the stress response adaptively affects evolutionary fitness. Here, we take advantage of a natural experiment-an El Niño drought-that produced unprecedented mortality for wild white-faced capuchins.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFHeterogeneous zonal impacts of climate change on a wide hyperendemic area of human and animal fascioliasis assessed within a One Health action for prevention and control.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis
January 2025
Departamento de Parasitología, Facultad de Farmacia, Universidad de Valencia, Burjassot, Valencia, Spain.
The Northern Bolivian Altiplano is the fascioliasis endemic area where the highest prevalences and intensities in humans have been recorded. In this hyperendemic area of human fascioliasis, the disease is caused only by Fasciola hepatica and transmitted by Galba truncatula, the sole lymnaeid species present in the area. When analysing the link between global warning and the recently reported geographical spread of lymnaeid populations to out-border localities, a marked heterogeneous climatic change was found throughout the endemic area.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFSeasonal forecasting of East African short rains.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Biological, Geological, and Environmental Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
The variability of East African short rains (October-December) has profound socioeconomic and environmental impacts on the region, making accurate seasonal rainfall predictions essential. We evaluated the predictability of East African short rains using model ensembles from the multi-system seasonal retrospective forecasts from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). We assess the prediction skill for 1- to 5-month lead times using forecasts initialized in September for each year from 1993 to 2016.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFWant AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!