Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model. | LitMetric

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Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model. | LitMetric

Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model.

Arnab Rai Choudhuri Piyali Chatterjee Jie Jiang

Phys Rev Lett

Department of Physics, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore-560012, India.

Published: March 2007

Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by "feeding" observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle 23.

Download full-text PDF	Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103	DOI Listing

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