Predicting uncertainty in the ecotoxicological assessment of solid waste leachates.

Environmental managers need suitable technological methods to use in optimization studies to improve management of hazardous waste. One of the challenges to achieving a reliable hazardous waste classification is the improvement of procedures used forthe ecotoxicological characterization of solid waste leachates. Indeed, this step requires data that meet levels of acceptable quality if scientifically based decisions are to be made. In this study, we illustrate how the variability associated with the successive steps of a procedure used to assess ecotoxicological hazard of solid waste (i.e., primary sampling, laboratory sampling, toxicity measurements) can contribute to the overall variability of the ecotoxicity results. To this end, a municipal solid waste incinerator bottom ash and a slag from a second smelting of lead were studied using a nested experimental design. The results showed that the waste sampling design is of major importance for limiting the final variability of toxicity test parameters. At the opposite, increasing the number of replicates at the toxicity test level has negligible impact on this variability. Our approach could be of great practical interest in ecotoxicological studies not only for ensuring a safe classification for these materials, but also for improving sampling protocols and facilitating less time-consuming and less expensive ecotoxicological evaluations.