Assessing relative risks of infection and rejection: a meta-analysis using an immune function assay.

Background: Long-term use of immunosuppressants is associated with significant morbidity and mortality in transplant recipients. A simple whole blood assay that has U.S. Food and Drug Administration clearance directly assesses the net state of immune function of allograft recipients for better individualization of therapy. A meta-analysis of 504 solid organ transplant recipients (heart, kidney, kidney-pancreas, liver and small bowel) from 10 U.S. centers was performed using the Cylex ImmuKnow assay.

Methods: Blood samples were taken from recipients at various times posttransplant and compared with clinical course (stable, rejection, infection). In this analysis, 39 biopsy-proven cellular rejections and 66 diagnosed infections occurred. Odds ratios of infection or rejection were calculated based on measured immune response values.

Results: A recipient with an immune response value of 25 ng/ml adenosine triphosphate (ATP) was 12 times (95% confidence of 4 to 36) more likely to develop an infection than a recipient with a stronger immune response. Similarly, a recipient with an immune response of 700 ng/ml ATP was 30 times (95% confidence of 8 to 112) more likely to develop a cellular rejection than a recipient with a lower immune response value. Of note is the intersection of odds ratio curves for infection and rejection in the moderate immune response zone (280 ng/ml ATP). This intersection of risk curves provides an immunological target of immune function for solid organ recipients.

Conclusion: These data show that the Cylex ImmuKnow assay has a high negative predictive value and provides a target immunological response zone for minimizing risk and managing patients to stability.