[Perform analyse on the predictive model of ischemic cardiovascular diseases in Qingdao].

Objective: To explore the clinical usage of the methods and tools of the 10-year's risk estimation of ischemic cardiovascular disease (ICVD) in Chinese.

Methods: The risk of ICVD in 2287 middle-aged Qingdao people was evaluated by the methods and tools of the 10-year's risk estimation of ICVD in Chinese, which was developed by Cardiovascular Institute, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences.

Results: (1) 98.16% of male and 99.39% of female had a 10-year absolute risk of ICVD less than 10%. 0.19% of male and 0.15% of female had a 10-year absolute risk of ICVD higher than 20%. (2) In the low risk group (absolute risk < 10%) detection rate of abnormal SBP, FBG, TC, BMI was 100%, 20.8%, 75%, 87.5% respectively. While in the high risk group (absolute risk > or = 20%) detection rate of abnormal SBP, FBG, TC, BMI was 7.31%, 3.4%, 37.74%, 59.26% respectively.

Conclusions: The prediction models and simplified tools for estimating 10-year-risk of ICVD in Chinese can predict satisfactorily the occurrence of cardiovascular disease in Qingdao area.