[Predictors of success at 6-month follow-up for smokers treated at a smoking cessation clinic].

Objective: To identify the predictors of successful outcome in a smoking cessation program at 6-month follow-up.

Material And Methods: Cross-sectional descriptive study of a sample of smokers who attended a smoking cessation clinic for combined medical and cognitive-behavioral group therapy. The independent variables assessed included age, sex, level of education, nicotine dependence (Fagerström test), prior attempts to quit smoking, medication prescribed, compliance with group therapy regimen, and success at one week and 3 months. Success was defined as self-reported abstinence, confirmed by CO-oximetry (carbon monoxide <10 ppm). Odds ratios (with 95% confidence intervals) were calculated for the categorical variables and a test of statistical significance of differences between means was performed for quantitative variables. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed and significant variables were entered into a multivariate logistic regression model.

Results: The study population comprised 248 individuals, 67.7% male and 32.3% female, with a mean (SD) age of 43.1 (10.5) years. The mean score on the Fagerström test was 6.3 (2.1) points and 84.7% of the individuals complied with the treatment regimen. Success rates were as follows: 77% at one week, 30.2% at 3 months, and 31.9% at 6 months. Three variables--success at 3 months, age, and nicotine dependence--were entered into the multivariate logistic regression model; the only variable predictive of successful smoking cessation at 6 months was success at 3 months.

Conclusions: Individuals who fully comply with treatment and abstain from smoking during the first weeks are more likely to be successful at 6 months.