Space-time cluster analysis of invasive meningococcal disease.

Emerg Infect Dis

Eastern South Limburg Municipal Public Health Service, Heerlen, the Netherlands.

Published: September 2004

Clusters are recognized when meningococcal cases of the same phenotypic strain (markers: serogroup, serotype, and subtype) occur in spatial and temporal proximity. The incidence of such clusters was compared to the incidence that would be expected by chance by using space-time nearest-neighbor analysis of 4,887 confirmed invasive meningococcal cases identified in the 9-year surveillance period 1993-2001 in the Netherlands. Clustering beyond chance only occurred among the closest neighboring cases (comparable to secondary cases) and was small (3.1%, 95% confidence interval 2.1%-4.1%).

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3320315PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1009.030992DOI Listing

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