An evolutionary ecological perspective on demographic transitions: modeling multiple currencies.

Am J Hum Biol

School of Natural Resources and Environment Population Studies Center, The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

Published: April 2002

Life history theory postulates tradeoffs of current versus future reproduction; today women face evolutionarily novel versions of these tradeoffs. Optimal age at first birth is the result of tradeoffs in fertility and mortality; ceteris paribus, early reproduction is advantageous. Yet modern women in developed nations experience relatively late first births; they appear to be trading off socioeconomic status and the paths to raised SES, education and work, against early fertility. Here, [1] using delineating parameter values drawn from data in the literature, we model these tradeoffs to determine how much socioeconomic advantage will compensate for delayed first births and lower lifetime fertility; and [2] we examine the effects of work and education on women's lifetime and age-specific fertility using data from seven cohorts in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID).

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ajhb.10043DOI Listing

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