In Phase II oncology studies, response rate has traditionally been used to assess activity. However stabilization of disease (SD) may also provide patient benefit. To assess the value of SD (stabilization of measurable disease for at least 8 weeks) as a predictor of survival following chemotherapy in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), we have analyzed data from 198 NSCLC patients receiving topotecan i.v. or orally as first-line therapy either as single agent or in combination. Proportional hazards (Cox) regression models showed that responders [complete response (CR) + partial response (PR), 1.5% and 11.6% respectively] had an estimated risk of death that was 9.8% (95% CI: 4.2% to 22.7%) of that for progressive disease (PD) (60.1% of the patient population). Similarly, patients with SD (26.8% of the patient population) showed a potential benefit with a risk of death that was 27.7% of the one of patients with PD (95% CI: 17.8% to 43.1%). In conclusion SD may be a useful indicator of patient benefit from chemotherapy for NSCLC.
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