We have examined whether the extended life span of cells induced by Bcl-2 in T(1) ductal breast carcinomas might favor the acquisition and accumulation of genetic alterations that induce lymph node metastases. We analyzed the expression of c-Myc, c-erbB-2 and epidermal growth factor receptor by immuno-histochemistry in a group of 142 T(1) (<2 cm) ductal breast carcinomas embedded in paraffin, previously studied for p53 mutation and Bcl-2 over-expression. We also measured the apoptotic status and estimated the excess risk (pOR) for lymph node metastasis according to the number of accumulated oncogene alterations and Bcl-2 and p53 expression. The linear relationship between number of oncogene alterations and presence of lymph node metastasis was statistically significant in Bcl-2-positive tumors (trend test, p = 0.03), p53-mutated tumors (trend test, p = 0.08) and tumors with loss of apoptosis (trend test, p = 0.08). Very large associations (pOR > 12) between the number of oncogene alterations and lymph node metastasis were observed among Bcl-2-positive tumors that showed increased loss of apoptosis (trend test, p = 0.03). Furthermore, in p53-negative tumors, a strong linear association was found between the number of oncogene alterations and risk of lymph node metastasis among Bcl-2-positive tumors (trend test, p = 0.03). In human T(1) ductal breast carcinoma, over-expression of Bcl-2 along with loss of apoptosis might render breast cancer cells susceptible to the acquisition of additional genetic lesions related to disease progression among p53-negative tumors. Thus, in breast cancer, there are at least 2 pathways to progression: Bcl-2- and p53-dependent mechanisms.

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