Tumor markers at the time of recurrence in patients with germ cell tumors.

Background: alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) closely follow the course of germ cell tumors (GCTs) and are widely used for diagnosis, prognosis, and follow-up purposes. The objective of this study was to assess the concordance of tumor markers at the time of diagnosis and recurrence.

Methods: The authors reviewed the records of 794 patients with GCTs treated in three Spanish hospitals from 1977-1996 and analyzed the concordance between AFP, HCG, and LDH levels at diagnosis and first and second recurrence. A positive marker was defined as a level of AFP > 10 ng/mL, HCG > 5 IU/L, or LDH > the upper limit of normal. One hundred twenty-five patients were identified who developed a first recurrence (123 had marker levels recorded). The median age was 27 years (range, 14-78 years). Histology was seminoma in 36 patients (29%) and nonseminomatous GCT (NSGCT) in 87 patients (71%).

Results: Seventy-nine patients (64%) had elevated tumor markers at diagnosis and 76 (62%) at first recurrence. An elevated marker was present at first recurrence in 58 of 79 patients (73%) with initially positive markers and in 18 of 44 patients (41%) with initially negative markers. In 84 of 123 patients (68%), the same marker pattern (positive or negative) was present at the time of diagnosis and at first recurrence, 78% in seminomas and 64% in NSGCTs. The earliest indicator of recurrence was an elevated marker in patients with NSGCTs and a radiologic finding in patients with seminomas. Thirty patients developed a second recurrence, 27 of whom (90%) had the same marker pattern as at first recurrence.

Conclusions: Tumor marker pattern at diagnosis is not a good predictor of the pattern at recurrence, particularly in patients with NSGCTs. Marker assessment should be included in the follow-up schedule regardless of levels at the time of diagnosis. Early detection of recurrence should not rely only on marker levels, even in patients with elevated levels at presentation.