Surface and satellite-based observations show a decrease in Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent during the past 46 years. A comparison of these trends to control and transient integrations (forced by observed greenhouse gases and tropospheric sulfate aerosols) from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory and Hadley Centre climate models reveals that the observed decrease in Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent agrees with the transient simulations, and both trends are much larger than would be expected from natural climate variations. From long-term control runs of climate models, it was found that the probability of the observed trends resulting from natural climate variability, assuming that the models' natural variability is similar to that found in nature, is less than 2 percent for the 1978-98 sea ice trends and less than 0.1 percent for the 1953-98 sea ice trends. Both models used here project continued decreases in sea ice thickness and extent throughout the next century.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.286.5446.1934 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Collection of optimizations for untargeted metabolomics analysis of Leishmania promastigotes using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry.
Talanta
January 2025
Center for Multiplatform Metabolomics Studies (CEMM) at the Institute of Chemistry, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, 05508-000, Brazil. Electronic address:
There is no consensus in the literature regarding the ideal protocol for obtaining and preparing cell samples for untargeted metabolomics. Nevertheless, the procedures must be carefully evaluated for proper and reliable results for each organism under study. This work proposes a novel protocol for determining intracellular metabolites in Leishmania promastigotes and is fully optimized for application in conjunction with gas chromatography-mass spectrometry platforms.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTowards the Measurement of Sea-Ice Thickness Using a Time-Domain Inductive Measurement System.
Sensors (Basel)
January 2025
Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK.
Frequency-domain electromagnetic induction (EMI) is routinely used to detect the presence of seawater due to the inherent electrical conductivity of the seawater. This approach is used to infer sea-ice thickness (SIT). A time-domain EMI sensor is presented, which demonstrates the potential for correlating the spectroscopic properties of the received signal with the distance to the sea surface.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFPerformance Evaluation of Deep Learning Image Classification Modules in the MUN-ABSAI Ice Risk Management Architecture.
Sensors (Basel)
January 2025
Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science, Memorial University of Newfoundland (MUN), St. John's, NL A1B 3X5, Canada.
The retreat of Arctic sea ice has opened new maritime routes, offering faster shipping opportunities; however, these routes present significant navigational challenges due to the harsh ice conditions. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a deep learning-based Arctic ice risk management architecture with multiple modules, including ice classification, risk assessment, ice floe tracking, and ice load calculations. A comprehensive dataset of 15,000 ice images was created using public sources and contributions from the Canadian Coast Guard, and it was used to support the development and evaluation of the system.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCase studies of different types of precipitation at Ny-Ålesund, Arctic.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Astronomy, Astrophysics and Space Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Indore, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, 453552, India.
Arctic precipitation plays a crucial role in shaping the surface mass balance of Arctic sea ice and has wide-ranging impacts on local climate, ecosystems, and global sea level dynamics. With the Arctic undergoing warming trends, historical data and climate models indicate a shift from primarily snowfall to a rise in liquid and mixed forms of precipitation. This study tried to explain the microphysical characteristics and atmospheric conditions associated with different forms of precipitation and their transitions.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFGiant pit craters on the modern seafloor above magma-induced hydrothermal vent complexes of Scotia Sea, offshore Antarctica.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Geology, School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Massive injection of C depleted carbon to the ocean and atmosphere coincided with major environmental upheaval multiple times in the geological record. For several events, the source of carbon has been attributed to explosive venting of gas produced when magmatic sills intruded organic-rich sediment. The concept mostly derives from studies of a few ancient sedimentary basins with numerous hydrothermal vent complexes (HTVCs) where craters appear to have formed across large areas of the seafloor at the same time, but good examples remain rare in strata younger than the Early Eocene.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFWant AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!