Serum IgG antibodies to human herpesvirus-6 (HHV-6) do not predict the progression of HIV disease to AIDS. Italian Seroconversion Study group.

Objectives: To evaluate if different levels of human herpesvirus 6 (HHV-6) antibodies can predict HIV disease progression.

Design: Longitudinal study of individuals with a documented date of HIV seroconversion.

Setting: Clinical centers located throughout Italy.

Patients: Individuals who serconverted for HIV between 1983 and 1995 in Italy.

Methods: Sera were tested for IgG antibodies to HHV-6 using a commercial enzyme immunoassay. A serum sample with an optical density (OD) > or =242 (i.e. the mean value of 10 negative controls +4x standard deviation) was considered as HHV-6 positive; the progression of HIV disease was evaluated estimating the relative hazards (RH) of AIDS (by Cox models) for individuals with higher levels vs. lower levels of HHV-6 antibodies or considering levels of antibodies based on 10% increase of the distribution (deciles). Rates of CD4 decline fitting linear regression were also estimated.

Results: A total of 381 persons were followed for a median time of 4 years (range: 0.15-9 years) following the date of collection of the serum sample. The median OD value of HHV-6 antibodies was 306, with an interquartile range of 241-440 and a range of 48-2330. A slight inverse correlation was found between HHV-6 antibody levels and age of the individual at the time of serum collection (Spearman rank correlation coefficient, -0.16; p = 0.0013). No association was found between HHV-6 and CD4 level or between HHV-6 and CD8 level at the date of serum collection. The unadjusted RH of progression to AIDS was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.42-0.96) for HHV-6 positive individuals vs. HHV-6 negative; when adjusting for possible confounders (CD4, age, pre-AIDS HIV-related pathologies at the date of sera collection, and previous anti-herpes treatment), the RH of AIDS increased to 0.80 (95% CI: 0.51-1.23). No particular association with HIV disease progression was found when using the deciles of the distribution of HHV-6 antibodies. The median CD4 cell loss was 5.0x10(6) cells/l per month among HHV-6 positive individuals and 5.7x10(6) cells/l per month among the others.

Conclusions: The presence of high levels of HHV-6 antibodies does not seem to predict the clinical or immunologic progression of HIV disease.