Although the early onset of Oppositional Defiant Disorder (ODD) is associated with an elevated risk of later psychopathology (including but not limited to conduct disorder and antisocial personality disorder), little is known about the factors influencing the course of this disorder in early life. In this article we first review data and theory from four conceptually-distinct domains of risk factors for disruptive disorders (child characteristics reflecting biologic vulnerabilities, parent-child attachment, parenting practices, and family adversity). Then we describe an empirical study that examined the power of these four domains (representing 10 specific risk factors) to predict the prognosis of clinic-referred, preschool boys with ODD; risk factors were assessed when these youngsters were first evaluated in the clinic and outcomes were measured 2 years later. The primary goal was to determine the unique importance of risk factors in the context of others examined simultaneously, a strategy that few previous studies have used. We found that the four-factor risk model predicted significant variance in mother's reports of externalizing (disruptive) behavior problems at the 2-year follow-up; however, the model did not predict teacher externalizing scores or clinicians' assessments of Diagnostic and Statistical Manual (DSM) disorders, as hypothesized. Analyses of specific factors within domains suggested that three were most consistently related to the negative outcomes of ODD boys: greater use of physical discipline by parents, greater life stress for families, and a greater number of pre- and perinatal complications. Nearly a third of the variance in mothers' reports of internalizing (inhibited) problems was attributable to two of these risk factors (life events stress and birth history) and to a third factor, delayed child development.
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