In this article, a new set of multivariate global sensitivity indices based on distance components decomposition is proposed. The proposed sensitivity indices can be considered as an extension of the traditional variance-based sensitivity indices and the covariance decomposition-based sensitivity indices, and they have similar forms. The advantage of the proposed sensitivity indices is that they can measure the effects of an input variable on the whole probability distribution of multivariate model output when the power of distance .
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThere are various uncertain parameters in the techno-economic assessments (TEAs) of biodiesel production, including capital cost, interest rate, feedstock price, maintenance rate, biodiesel conversion efficiency, glycerol price and operating cost. However, fewer studies focus on the influence of these parameters on TEAs. This paper investigated the effects of these parameters on the life cycle cost (LCC) and the unit cost (UC) in the TEAs of biodiesel production.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThis article presents a new importance analysis framework, called parametric moment ratio function, for measuring the reduction of model output uncertainty when the distribution parameters of inputs are changed, and the emphasis is put on the mean and variance ratio functions with respect to the variances of model inputs. The proposed concepts efficiently guide the analyst to achieve a targeted reduction on the model output mean and variance by operating on the variances of model inputs. The unbiased and progressive unbiased Monte Carlo estimators are also derived for the parametric mean and variance ratio functions, respectively.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIn risk assessment, the moment-independent sensitivity analysis (SA) technique for reducing the model uncertainty has attracted a great deal of attention from analysts and practitioners. It aims at measuring the relative importance of an individual input, or a set of inputs, in determining the uncertainty of model output by looking at the entire distribution range of model output. In this article, along the lines of Plischke et al.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe error estimate of Borgonovo's moment-independent index δi is considered, and it shows that the possible computational complexity of δi is mainly due to the probability density function (PDF) estimate because the PDF estimate is an ill-posed problem and its convergence rate is quite slow. So it reminds us to compute Borgonovo's index using other methods. To avoid the PDF estimate, δi, which is based on the PDF, is first approximatively represented by the cumulative distribution function (CDF).
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