Preliminary Assessment of the COVID-19 Outbreak Using 3-Staged Model e-ISHR.

The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan has aroused widespread concern and attention from all over the world. Many articles have predicted the development of the epidemic. Most of them only use very basic SEIR model without considering the real situation.

Prediction of COVID-19 Outbreak in China and Optimal Return Date for University Students Based on Propagation Dynamics.

On 12 December 2019, a novel coronavirus disease, named COVID-19, began to spread around the world from Wuhan, China. It is useful and urgent to consider the future trend of this outbreak. We establish the 4+1 penta-group model to predict the development of the COVID-19 outbreak.