Climate change and human activities are the primary drivers influencing changes in runoff dynamics. However, current understanding of future hydrological processes under scenarios of gradual climate change and escalating human activities remains uncertain, particularly in tropical regions affected by deforestation. Based on this, we employed the SWAT model coupled with the near future (2021-2040) and middle future (2041-2060) global climate models (GCMs) under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFMar Pollut Bull
October 2024
Multiple uncertainties such as water quality processes, streamflow randomness affected by climate change, indicators' interrelation, and socio-economic development have brought significant risks in managing water quantity and quality (WQQ) for river basins. This research developed an integrated simulation-optimization modeling approach (ISMA) to tackle multiple uncertainties simultaneously. This approach combined water quality analysis simulation programming, Markov-Chain, generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation, and interval two-stage left-hand-side chance-constrained joint-probabilistic programming into an integration nonlinear modeling framework.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFSimulations of sustainable land use and management are required to achieve targets to reduce pollution and carbon emissions. Limited research has been conducted on synergistic pollution and carbon reduction (SPCR) in land-use simulations. This study proposed a framework for land-use simulation focused on SPCR.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe widespread use of biogas slurry could potentially raise the environmental risk of antibiotics. Dissolved organic matter (DOM), as the most active part of biogas slurry, was able to interact with antibiotics and play a crucial role in the structure and function of soil and aquatic ecosystems. The recent shifts in global climate patterns have garnered significant attention due to their substantial impact on temperature, thereby exerting a direct influence on the characteristics of DOM and subsequently on the environmental behavior of antibiotics.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA novel newsvendor model-based framework for regional industrial water resources allocation that considers uncertainties in water supply and demand was proposed in this study. This framework generates optimal water allocation schemes while minimizing total costs. The total cost of water allocation consists of the allocated water cost, the opportunity loss for not meeting water demand, and the loss of the penalty for exceeding water demand.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEnviron Sci Pollut Res Int
March 2023
Soil erosion and sediment yield in watersheds are comprehensively affected by land use/cover changes and climatic factors. The current sediment yield index (SYI) model incorporates parameters of area (A), delivery ratio (DR), and curve number (CN), which reflect the character of underlying surface conditions, while the impact of rainfall intensity on sediment yield could not be properly considered. This study aims to improve the current SYI model by introducing rainfall-related factors such as rainfall erosivity (R) and applying it to estimate the sediment yield of river basin.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFUnderstanding the changes in hydrological process is a key subject for water resource management of a high-diversity watershed. In this paper, through an establishment of a SWAT-based model, the effects of climate change and its induced vegetation change on hydrological process were analyzed in the East River Basin. The model could well simulate the hydrological processes of the basin including surface runoff (SURQ), groundwater (GWQ), lateral flow (LATQ), total water yield (WYLD), actual evapotranspiration (ET), and groundwater recharge (PERC).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEnviron Sci Pollut Res Int
December 2022
The NUFER (Nutrient Flow in food chains, Environment and Resources) model has been used to reliably quantify nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) emissions from agriculture land to water bodies. However, factors impacting agricultural N and P emissions at the island scale have rarely been studied due to the lack of high-resolution spatialization tools, which are critical for exploring mitigation options. Here, a high-resolution NUFER model was constructed based on geology, meteorology, land-use data, statistical data, and field investigation.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTo facilitate regional water resources allocation, an integrated bi-level multi-objective programming (IBMP) model with dual random fuzzy variables was developed in this research The proposed model was derived through incorporating dual random fuzzy variables, multi-objective programming, and interval parameter programming within a bi-level optimization framework. This approach improved upon the previous bi-level programming methods and had two advantages. Firstly, it was capable of reflecting tradeoffs among multiple conflict preferences for water related bi-level hierarchical decision-making processes.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIn this research, an interval two-stage stochastic fuzzy-interval credibility constraint programming (ISFICP) method was developed for water resources allocation among multiple water users under complexities and uncertainties. The method could reflect the multiple complexities of water resources management, also trade-offs between the system benefits and violation risks. Dongjiang River (DJR) Basin, which supplies water to several core cities in south China such as Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong, was applied as the real demonstrative case.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe spatiotemporal characteristics and sources identification of agricultural nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) emissions to the gulf are rarely reported in tropical regions of China, mainly due to the lack of local reliable data and quantitative tools for spatiotemporal changes. In this study, we constructed a high-resolution NUFER (NUtrient Flow in food chains, Environment and Resources use) model based on geology, meteorology, land use data, statistical data, and field investigation to quantify the spatiotemporal characteristics and sources of N and P emissions. Bamen Bay (BMB), a bay with a mangrove national wetland Park in the Hainan Island, China, was chosen as a case study.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFDue to insufficient understanding of human-water interaction, many water-related problems arise in watersheds, posing severe threats to the sustainability of watershed development. Although water environmental carrying capacity (WECC) is a powerful tool to support sustainable development of watersheds, few studies considered aquatic ecological factors and uncertainty in indicator values, leading to losses of sample information in the evaluation of WECC. This paper developed a systematic framework for comprehensive WECC assessment that included the indicator system and a novel variable fuzzy pattern recognition (VFPR) approach.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFOver the past few years the discharge of waste and sewage in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GHMB) of China has increased, exerting a great amount of pressure on ecological protection. In this study, we focus on achieving a balanced spatial layout of sewage treatment plants in order to reveal the regional differences and spatial patterns of sewage treatment plants in the GHMB and identify the key factors influencing the spatial patterns. In particular, we employ POI (point of interest) geographical data to evaluate the spatial patterns and agglomeration status of sewage treatment plants in the GHMB using Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIn this research, a dual-randomness bi-level interval multi-objective programming (DR-BIMP) model was developed for supporting water resources management among multiple water sectors under complexities and uncertainties. Techniques of bi-level multi-objective programming (BMOP), double-sided stochastic chance-constrained programming (DSCCP), and interval parameter programming (IPP) were incorporated into an integrated modeling framework to achieve comprehensive consideration of the complexities and uncertainties of water resources management systems. The DR-BIMP model can not only effectively deal with the interactive effects between multiple decision-makers in complex water management systems through the bi-level hierarchical strategies, but also can characterize the multiple uncertainties information expressed as interval format and probability density functions.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCoordinated relationships between socioeconomic development and water utilization, as well as environmental protection measures, are crucial for achieving sustainable water resource exploitation (WRE) under changing environmental conditions. Moreover, a balanced condition of regional WRE is essential to guaranteeing the water security of the entire nation. In this study, an evaluation model of the coordination degree (CD) of WRE is built based on 10 selected indicators and is then applied to 31 provincial zones in China during the period 2004-2014.
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