Publications by authors named "Y Contoyiannis"

In this paper, we present a new method for successfully simulating the dynamics of COVID-19, experimentally focusing on the third wave. This method, namely, the Method of Parallel Trajectories (MPT), is based on the recently introduced self-organized diffusion model. According to this method, accurate simulation of the dynamics of the COVID-19 infected population evolution is accomplished by considering not the total data for the infected population, but successive segments of it.

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Recently, it has been successfully shown that the temporal evolution of the fraction of COVID-19 infected people possesses the same dynamics as the ones demonstrated by a self-organizing diffusion model over a lattice, in the frame of universality. In this brief, the relevant emerging dynamics are further investigated. Evidence that this nonlinear model demonstrates critical dynamics is scrutinized within the frame of the physics of critical phenomena.

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In this work we present the statistical and criticality analysis of the very low frequency (VLF) sub-ionospheric propagation data recorded by a VLF/LF radio receiver which has recently been established at the University of West Attica in Athens (Greece). We investigate a very recent, strong (M6.9), and shallow earthquake (EQ) that occurred on 30 October 2020, very close to the northern coast of the island of Samos (Greece).

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The self-organizing mechanism is a universal approach that is widely followed in nature. In this work, a novel self-organizing model describing diffusion over a lattice is introduced. Simulation results for the model's active lattice sites demonstrate an evolution curve that is very close to those describing the evolution of infected European populations by COVID-19.

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The detection of power laws in real data is a demanding task for several reasons. The two most frequently met are that (i) real data possess noise, which affects the power-law tails significantly, and (ii) there is no solid tool for discrimination between a power law, valid in a specific range of scales, and other functional forms like log-normal or stretched exponential distributions. In the present report we demonstrate, employing simulated and real data, that using wavelets it is possible to overcome both of the above-mentioned difficulties and achieve secure detection of a power law and an accurate estimation of the associated exponent.

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