Forecast verification is very important in the nowcasting operation and technical development of strong convective weather. The current conventional verification method for nowcasting uses a binary classification event verification method, which exists with double punishment, leading to low scoring issues. In order to make up for the shortcomings of conventional verification methods and explore the potential value of forecasting, based on the characteristics and requirements of strong convective weather nowcasting operations, this paper proposes a neighborhood verification method that considers spatial scale, time scale, and intensity error information simultaneously, based on the spatial neighborhood fraction skill score (FSS) verification method.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAnthropogenic chlorine emission is an important source of Cl radicals, which plays an important role in the oxidative chemistry of the troposphere. However, its seasonal impacts on surface ozone levels in China have yet been comprehensively explored. In this study, we conducted numerical simulations for January, April, July and October 2015 by using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system with updated heterogeneous reactions of nitrogen oxides with particulate chlorine and updated Anthropogenic Chlorine Emission Inventory for China (ACEIC).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFLocated in the Southern China monsoon region, pollution days in Pearl River Delta (PRD) were classified into "Western type", "Central type" or "Eastern type", with a relative percentage of 67%, 24% and 9%, respectively. Using this classification system, three typical pollution events were selected for numerical simulations using the WRF-Chem model. The source sensitivity method for anthropogenic emissions of PM and its precursors was applied to identify the source-receptor relationships for PM among 9 cities in PRD.
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