A demographic approach to study effects of climate change in desert plants.

Desert species respond strongly to infrequent, intense pulses of precipitation. Consequently, indigenous flora has developed a rich repertoire of life-history strategies to deal with fluctuations in resource availability. Examinations of how future climate change will affect the biota often forecast negative impacts, but these-usually correlative-approaches overlook precipitation variation because they are based on averages.

Dispersal-dormancy relationships in annual plants: putting model predictions to the test.

Bet hedging is a means to increase fitness in environments that vary unpredictably in space and time. In such environments, models predict a trade-off between the bet-hedging strategies dispersal and dormancy, while the increasing importance of risk reduction with decreasing predictability should lead to an increase in dispersal and dormancy along gradients of environmental predictability. However, so far there has been no experimental study to test these predictions in the field.