Duplex Reverse-Transcription Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction Assay Targeting 23S rRNA Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms for the Detection of Flea-Borne Rickettsioses.

Flea-borne spotted fever and flea-borne (murine) typhus are rickettsioses caused by Rickettsia felis and Rickettsia typhi, respectively, and typically present as undifferentiated febrile illnesses. The relative contribution of these agents to flea-borne rickettsioses in California is unclear. We have developed a duplex reverse transcription real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-rtPCR) assay targeting R.

Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design.

Across many fields, scenario modeling has become an important tool for exploring long-term projections and how they might depend on potential interventions and critical uncertainties, with relevance to both decision makers and scientists. In the past decade, and especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, the field of epidemiology has seen substantial growth in the use of scenario projections. Multiple scenarios are often projected at the same time, allowing important comparisons that can guide the choice of intervention, the prioritization of research topics, or public communication.

When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting.

Mathematical models are useful for public health planning and response to infectious disease threats. However, different models can provide differing results, which can hamper decision making if not synthesized appropriately. To address this challenge, multi-model hubs convene independent modeling groups to generate ensembles, known to provide more accurate predictions of future outcomes.

Demographics of sources of HIV-1 transmission in Zambia: a molecular epidemiology analysis in the HPTN 071 PopART study.

Background: In the last decade, universally available antiretroviral therapy (ART) has led to greatly improved health and survival of people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa, but new infections continue to appear. The design of effective prevention strategies requires the demographic characterisation of individuals acting as sources of infection, which is the aim of this study.

Methods: Between 2014 and 2018, the HPTN 071 PopART study was conducted to quantify the public health benefits of ART.