Publications by authors named "V M Timiryanova"
Article Synopsis
- A study of 4,882 patients explored the long-term cardiovascular outcomes of COVID-19 in relation to sex and variant type (Alpha, Delta, Omicron), revealing specific trends over an 18-month follow-up.
- Results showed that men had significantly higher cardiovascular mortality rates compared to women during the Delta wave, while no significant differences were observed during the Alpha and Omicron variants.
- The study highlights discrepancies in cardiovascular outcomes and demographic factors between the different COVID-19 variants, indicating a need for more focused research on long-term effects based on sex and variant type.
Predicting Mortality by Causes in the Republic of Bashkortostan Using the Lee-Carter Model.
Stud Russ Econ Dev
September 2021
This paper analyzes and predicts age-sex mortality rates by causes in the Republic of Bashkortostan. The following methods of analysis were used: the Lee-Carter model, singular value decomposition, and ARIMA-modeling. The forecast results suggest that by 2025 the Republic of Bashkortostan will have lower mortality due to malignant neoplasms in all age groups, except for the 70+ group for women and 50+ age groups for men; lower mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system in all age groups for men and higher mortality in 45+ age groups for women; lower mortality due to injuries in all age groups for both sexes; no significant changes in mortality due to respiratory diseases; increased mortality from gastrointestinal diseases for both sexes at all ages, except for children; higher mortality due to infections at 20-54 for men and 20-64 for women; and almost half lower mortality from infections in the age group of 0-4 years for both sexes.
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