Evaluation of Sampling Algorithms Used for Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification of Molecular Dynamics Force Fields.

New Bayesian parameter estimation methods have the capability to enable more physically realistic and reliable molecular dynamics (MD) simulations by providing accurate estimates of uncertainties of force-field (FF) parameters and associated properties. However, the choice of which Bayesian parameter estimation algorithm to use has not been widely investigated, despite its impact on the effective exploration of parameter space. Here, using a case example of the Embedded Atom Method (EAM) FF parameters, we investigated the ramifications of several of the algorithm choices.