Insights into drug development with quantitative systems pharmacology: A prospective case study of uncovering hyperkalemia risk in diabetic nephropathy with virtual clinical trials.

The quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) approach is widely applied to address various essential questions in drug discovery and development, such as identification of the mechanism of action of a therapeutic agent, patient stratification, and the mechanistic understanding of the progression of disease. In this review article, we show the current landscape of the application of QSP modeling using a survey of QSP publications over 10 years from 2013 to 2022. We also present a use case for the risk assessment of hyperkalemia in patients with diabetic nephropathy treated with mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors), as a prospective simulation of late clinical development.

Quantitative Consideration of Clinical Increases in Serum Creatinine Caused by Renal Transporter Inhibition.

Creatinine is a common biomarker of renal function and is secreted in the renal tubular cells via drug transporters, such as organic cation transporter 2 and multidrug and toxin extrusion (MATE) 1/2-K. To differentiate between drug-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) and drug interactions through the renal transporter, it has been examined whether these transporter inhibitions quantitatively explained increases in serum creatinine (SCr) at their clinically relevant concentrations using drugs without any changes in renal function. For such renal transporter inhibitors and recently approved tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), this mini-review describes clinical increases in SCr and inhibitory potentials against the renal transporters.

Systems model identifies baseline cytokine concentrations as potential predictors of rheumatoid arthritis inflammatory response to biologics.

Background And Purpose: Circulating cytokines are central pathological mediators of inflammatory autoimmune diseases like rheumatoid arthritis. Immunological diversity in patients might contribute to inadequate responses to biological drugs. To address this therapeutic challenge, we developed a mathematical model that simultaneously describes temporal patterns of drug disposition for several biologics and their corresponding targeted cytokines, which were linked to triggering inflammatory responses.

Prediction of human pharmacokinetics for low-clearance compounds using pharmacokinetic data from chimeric mice with humanized livers.

Development of low-clearance (CL) compounds that are slowly metabolized is a major goal in the pharmaceutical industry. However, the pursuit of low intrinsic CL (CL ) often leads to significant challenges in evaluating the pharmacokinetics of such compounds. Although in vitro-in vivo extrapolation is widely used to predict human CL, its application has been limited for low-CL compounds because of the low turnover of parent compounds in metabolic stability assays.

Mechanistic evaluation of the effect of sodium-dependent glucose transporter 2 inhibitors on delayed glucose absorption in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using a quantitative systems pharmacology model of human systemic glucose dynamics.

Sodium-dependent glucose transporter (SGLT) 2 is specifically expressed in the kidney, while SGLT1 is present in the kidneys and small intestine. SGLT2 inhibitors are a class of oral antidiabetic drugs that lower elevated plasma glucose levels by promoting the urinary excretion of excess glucose through the inhibition of renal glucose reuptake. The inhibition selectivity for SGLT2 over SGLT1 (SGLT2/1 selectivity) of marketed SGLT2 inhibitors is diverse, while SGLT2/1 selectivity of canagliflozin is relatively low.

Estimation of changes in serum creatinine and creatinine clearance caused by renal transporter inhibition in healthy subjects.

Creatinine is excreted into urine by glomerular filtration and renal tubular secretion through drug transporters such as organic anion transporter 2 (OAT2), organic cation transporter 2 (OCT2), OCT3, multidrug and toxin extrusion protein 1 (MATE1), and MATE2-K. We aimed to investigate whether our method for estimating percentage changes in serum creatinine concentration (SCr) and creatinine clearance (CL) from the baseline is applicable for studying renal transporter inhibitors. We tested 14 compounds (cimetidine, cobicistat, dolutegravir, dronedarone, DX-619, famotidine, INCB039110, nizatidine, ondansetron, pyrimethamine, rabeprazole, ranolazine, trimethoprim, and vandetanib), which were reported to cause reversible changes in SCr and/or CL in healthy subjects excluding elderly.

Prediction of Human Distribution Volumes of Compounds in Various Elimination Phases Using Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Experimental Pharmacokinetics in Animals.

Predicting the pharmacokinetics of compounds in humans is an important part of the drug development process. In this study, the plasma concentration profiles of 10 marketed compounds exhibiting two-phase elimination after intravenous administration in humans were evaluated in terms of distribution volumes just after intravenous administration ( ), at steady state ( ), and in the elimination phase ( ) using physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling implemented in a commercially available simulator (Simcyp). When developing human PBPK models, the insight gained from prior animal PBPK models based on nonclinical data informed the optimization of the lipophilicity input of the compounds and the selection of the appropriate mechanistic tissue partition methods.

Quantitative analysis of elevation of serum creatinine via renal transporter inhibition by trimethoprim in healthy subjects using physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model.

Serum creatinine (SCr) levels rise during trimethoprim therapy for infectious diseases. This study aimed to investigate whether the elevation of SCr can be quantitatively explained using a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model incorporating inhibition by trimethoprim on tubular secretion of creatinine via renal transporters such as organic cation transporter 2 (OCT2), OCT3, multidrug and toxin extrusion protein 1 (MATE1), and MATE2-K. Firstly, pharmacokinetic parameters in the PBPK model of trimethoprim were determined to reproduce the blood concentration profile after a single intravenous and oral administration of trimethoprim in healthy subjects.

Comparison of Methods for Estimating Unbound Intracellular-to-Medium Concentration Ratios in Rat and Human Hepatocytes Using Statins.

It is essential to estimate concentrations of unbound drugs inside the hepatocytes to predict hepatic clearance, efficacy, and toxicity of the drugs. The present study was undertaken to compare predictability of the unbound hepatocyte-to-medium concentration ratios (K) by two methods based on the steady-state cell-to-medium total concentration ratios at 37°C and on ice (K) and based on their initial uptake rates (K). Poorly metabolized statins were used as test drugs because of their concentrative uptake via organic anion-transporting polypeptides.

Evaluation of the potency of telaprevir and its metabolites as inhibitors of renal organic cation transporters, a potential mechanism for the elevation of serum creatinine.

Telaprevir-based triple therapy is a highly effective treatment for chronic hepatitis C. However, adverse reactions include reversible and dose-dependent elevation of serum creatinine levels. We speculated that this effect reflects inhibition of the renal organic cation transporters hOCT2, hMATE1, and hMATE2-K by telaprevir or its metabolites (VRT-127394 and VRT-0922061).

Lung tumorigenesis promoted by anti-apoptotic effects of cotinine, a nicotine metabolite through activation of PI3K/Akt pathway.

We previously found that genetic polymorphism in cytochrome P450 2A6 (CYP2A6) is one of the potential determinants of tobacco-related lung cancer risk. It has been reported that the plasma concentration of cotinine, a major metabolite of nicotine, in carriers of wild-type alleles of CYP2A6 is considerably higher than that in carriers of null or reduced-function alleles of CYP2A6, raising the possibility that cotinine plays an important role in the development of lung cancer. As a novel mechanism of lung tumorigenesis mediated by CYP2A6, we investigated the effects of cotinine on the suppression of apoptosis and promotion of lung tumor growth.