Publications by authors named "Todd Hardy"

Background: Prognostic machine learning research in multiple sclerosis has been mainly focusing on black-box models predicting whether a patients' disability will progress in a fixed number of years. However, as this is a binary yes/no question, it cannot take individual disease severity into account. Therefore, in this work we propose to model the time to disease progression instead.

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Introduction: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory and neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system with rapidly evolving treatment options and strategies. An iterative modified Delphi process was used to develop 80 consensus recommendations for the management of MS in Australia and New Zealand. Part 1 of these guidelines includes recommendations related to selection of initial disease-modifying therapy (DMT) for MS, assessments before commencing DMT, monitoring disease activity on DMT, switching DMT, and discontinuing DMT.

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Introduction: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory demyelinating and degenerative disease of the central nervous system. There were 33 335 people with MS in Australia in 2021 and 2917 in New Zealand in 2006 and the prevalence and incidence are increasing with time. Although new treatments have substantially improved outcomes in recent decades, the treatment landscape has become increasingly complex due to the expanding number of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) and associated safety considerations.

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Background: Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is implicated as a necessary factor in the development of multiple sclerosis (MS) and may also be a driver of disease activity. Although it is not clear whether ongoing viral replication is the driver for MS pathology, MS researchers have considered the prospect of using drugs with potential efficacy against EBV in the treatment of MS. We have undertaken scientific and lived experience expert panel reviews to shortlist existing licensed therapies that could be used in later-stage clinical trials in MS.

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TREX1 mutations underlie a variety of human diseases, including retinal vasculopathy with cerebral leukoencephalopathy (RVCL or RVCL-S), a catastrophic adult-onset vasculopathy that is often confused with multiple sclerosis, systemic vasculitis, or systemic lupus erythematosus. Patients with RVCL develop brain, retinal, liver, and kidney disease around age 35-55, leading to premature death in 100% of patients expressing an autosomal dominant C-terminally truncated form of TREX1. We previously demonstrated that RVCL is characterized by high levels of DNA damage, premature cellular senescence, and risk of early-onset breast cancer before age 45.

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Background: Treatment of fatigue is important for many patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). While pharmacological options have not shown consistent benefit, psychological interventions offer another avenue of treatment. Cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) involves strategies to change maladaptive cognition and illness behaviours that modulate how patients with MS respond to fatigue.

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Article Synopsis
  • * Machine learning models were applied to predict confirmed disability progression after two years, achieving a ROC-AUC score of 0.71, indicating moderate accuracy, while historical disability was found to be a stronger predictor than treatment or relapse history.
  • * The research followed strict guidelines and made its coding accessible for others to facilitate future benchmarking in predicting disability progression in MS patients.
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Background: Patients with refractory or high-risk myasthenia gravis (MG) respond poorly to conventional immunosuppressive therapy, requiring rescue therapies and often experiencing treatment toxicity. Rescue and injectable therapies do not induce remission and require repetitive administration leading to significant constraints on patients and the healthcare system. This long-term follow-up study demonstrates cyclophosphamide as a rapidly effective and safe treatment in patients with refractory or high-risk MG.

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Encephalopathy is part of the clinical triad of Susac syndrome, but a detailed understanding of the neurocognitive and neuropsychiatric profile of this condition is lacking. Existing literature indicates that cognitive deficits range in severity from subtle to profound. Executive function and short-term recall are affected frequently.

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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic raised concern amongst clinicians that disease-modifying therapies (DMT), particularly anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies (mAb) and fingolimod, could worsen COVID-19 in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). This study aimed to examine DMT prescribing trends pre- and post-pandemic onset.

Methods: A multi-centre longitudinal study with 8,771 participants from MSBase was conducted.

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Background: There is a need for biomarkers of disease progression and therapeutic response in multiple sclerosis (MS). This study aimed to identify cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) lipids that differentiate MS from other neuroinflammatory conditions and correlate with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, gadolinium-enhancing lesions or inflammatory mediators.

Methods: Lipids and inflammatory cytokines/chemokines were quantified with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry and multiplex ELISA, respectively, in CSF from people with untreated MS, neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD), other inflammatory neurological diseases and non-inflammatory neurological diseases (NIND).

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Article Synopsis
  • The study aimed to find an effective oral corticosteroid regimen for myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) that extends the time to first relapse and reduces overall steroid exposure.
  • In a retrospective study of 109 patients, higher doses of oral prednisone, particularly 12.5 mg/day or more for at least 3 months, significantly delayed the time to first relapse, with notable reductions in relapse risk.
  • The findings suggest that a daily dose of 12.5 mg of prednisone for adults (or 0.16 mg/kg for children) at disease onset is optimal, showing no serious adverse effects in patients treated at this level.
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Siponimod is a sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor (S1P) modulator used to treat secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). We report 3 SPMS patients treated with siponimod who developed new or worsening peripheral oedema soon after commencing treatment. In one case, peripheral oedema resulted in immobility.

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Background: Relapsing or recurrent tumefactive demyelination is rare and has not been studied beyond individual case reports.

Objective: We examined the clinical course, neuroimaging, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), treatment and outcomes of patients with recurrent tumefactive demyelinating lesions (TDLs).

Methods: We used PubMed to identify reports of recurrent TDLs and included the details of an additional, unpublished patient.

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Low serum levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and low sunlight exposure are known risk factors for the development of multiple sclerosis. Add-on vitamin D supplementation trials in established multiple sclerosis have been inconclusive. The effects of vitamin D supplementation to prevent multiple sclerosis is unknown.

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Background: We assessed the prevalence and risks associated with pain during and after a multiple sclerosis (MS) relapse, and the impact of pain on quality of life (QoL), in MS patients.

Methods: 117 patients suffering an acute MS relapse were evaluated with clinician- and patient-reported outcomes, including the expanded disability status scale (EDSS), Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale (MSIS-29), and MS Walking scale-12 (MSWS-12). Relapse-related pain was assessed via the short-form 36 (SF-36) questionnaire upon first visit (relapse onset) and at 6 weeks after treatment with intravenous methylprednisolone (follow-up visit).

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Article Synopsis
  • The study investigates geographical differences in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) and how these may be influenced by factors like latitude and treatment types.
  • It utilizes data from a global patient registry, focusing on relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients and factors such as age, sex, and treatment efficacy.
  • The research analyzes data from over 51,000 patients across 27 countries to establish patterns in the progression from relapsing-remitting to secondary progressive phases of the disease.
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Background: The prognostic significance of non-disabling relapses in people with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is unclear.

Objective: To determine whether early non-disabling relapses predict disability accumulation in RRMS.

Methods: We redefined mild relapses in MSBase as 'non-disabling', and moderate or severe relapses as 'disabling'.

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Guillain Barré syndrome (GBS) and its variants, and chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy (CIDP and its variants, are regarded as immune mediated neuropathies. Unlike in many autoimmune disorders, GBS and CIDP are more common in males than females. Sex is not a clear predictor of outcome.

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