Predicting risk of tuberculosis disease in people migrating to a low-TB incidence country: development and validation of a multivariable dynamic risk prediction model using health administrative data.

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) incidence remains disproportionately high in people migrating to Canada and other low TB incidence countries, but systematic TB screening and prevention in migrants is often cost-prohibitive for TB programs. We aimed to develop and validate a TB risk prediction model to inform TB screening decisions in foreign-born permanent residents of Canada.

Methods: We developed and validated a proportional baselines landmark supermodel for TB risk prediction using health administrative data from British Columbia and Ontario, two distinct provincial healthcare systems in Canada.

Nontuberculous mycobacterial hypersensitivity pneumonitis related to a home shower: treatment and secondary prevention.

A 57-year-old physician with increasing dyspnoea and hypoxaemia had a high-resolution CT scan of the chest, which disclosed diffuse pulmonary ground glass opacities, more pronounced in the upper lobes with minimal mediastinal lymphadenopathy. Transbronchial biopsy of the right middle and lower lobes was performed, demonstrating varying degrees of well circumscribed organising granulomatous pneumonitis thought to be most consistent with hypersensitivity to nontuberculous mycobacteria. Cultures of water obtained from the patient's home shower were positive for Mycobacterium avium complex.