Publications by authors named "Sinnathamby M"

Article Synopsis
  • The mean standard deviation (MSD) method was created to measure COVID-19 activity levels.
  • It was tested against the established moving epidemic method (MEM) for influenza, yielding similar results.
  • The MSD method is useful for assessing activity levels of respiratory viruses, especially when there's limited historical data or when multiple viruses are present.
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Background: By March, 2023, 54 countries, areas, and territories (hereafter CAT) in the WHO European Region had reported more than 2·2 million COVID-19-related deaths to the WHO Regional Office for Europe. Here, we estimated how many lives were directly saved by vaccinating adults in the WHO European Region from December, 2020, to March, 2023.

Methods: In this retrospective surveillance study, we estimated the number of lives directly saved by age group, vaccine dose, and circulating variant-of-concern (VOC) period, regionally and nationally, using weekly data on COVID-19 mortality and infection, COVID-19 vaccination uptake, and SARS-CoV-2 virus characterisations by lineage downloaded from The European Surveillance System on June 11, 2023, as well as vaccine effectiveness data from the literature.

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Article Synopsis
  • * The WHO published the first COVID-19 Weekly Epidemiological Update on August 17, 2020, and continued until the final edition on September 1, 2023, after which updates transitioned to a comprehensive format every 4 weeks.
  • * The article reviews the WEU's data collection and publication process, its global impact, and offers recommendations to improve collaboration and information sharing for future health crises.
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Article Synopsis
  • The study analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the epidemiology of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in Europe from October 2020 to September 2022.
  • Data from multiple surveillance systems showed a significant drop in RSV detections during the 2020/21 season, followed by a gradual increase in 2021 and notable peaks in 2021/22.
  • Despite increased testing, RSV patterns were disrupted, with unusual circulation trends observed, indicating that normalization of RSV activity had not been achieved by the 2022/23 season.
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The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Beta (B.1.351) variant in November 2020 raised concerns of increased transmissibility and severity.

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Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) information has played a crucial role in the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic by providing evidence about variants to inform public health policy. The purpose of this study was to assess the representativeness of sequenced cases compared with all COVID-19 cases in England, between March 2020 and August 2021, by demographic and socio-economic characteristics, to evaluate the representativeness and utility of these data in epidemiological analyses. To achieve this, polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed COVID-19 cases were extracted from the national laboratory system and linked with WGS data.

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Background: COVID-19 vaccines have been shown to be highly effective against hospitalisation and death following COVID-19 infection. COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness estimates against severe endpoints among individuals with clinical conditions that place them at increased risk of critical disease are limited.

Methods: We used English primary care medical record data from the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre sentinel network (N > 18 million).

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Article Synopsis
  • * Researchers analyzed the incidence rates of group A streptococcal infections and scarlet fever over different seasons using statistical methods to compare the impact of the vaccination program before and after its introduction.
  • * Results showed significant reductions in infections among children aged 2-10 in areas where the vaccine was implemented, indicating that LAIV may lower the risk of
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Objectives: We determined the age and sociodemographic distribution of COVID-19 cases between January and September 2020 to identify the group with the highest incidence rates at the beginning of the second wave in England.

Study Design: We undertook a retrospective cohort study design.

Methods: SARS-CoV-2 cases in England were linked with area-level socio-economic status indicators using quintiles of the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD).

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Background: The universal paediatric live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) programme commenced in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2013/2014. Since 2014/2015, all pre-school and primary school children in Scotland and Northern Ireland have been offered the vaccine. England and Wales incrementally introduced the programme with additional school age cohorts being vaccinated each season.

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Background: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths are rare in children and young people (CYP). The high rates of asymptomatic and mild infections complicate assessment of cause of death in CYP. We assessed the cause of death in all CYP with a positive Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test since the start of the pandemic in England.

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The Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 became the globally dominant variant in early 2022. A sub-lineage of the Omicron variant (BA.2) was identified in England in January 2022.

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BackgroundThe emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant in England coincided with a rapid increase in the number of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases in areas where the variant was concentrated.AimOur aim was to assess whether infection with Alpha was associated with more severe clinical outcomes than the wild type.MethodsLaboratory-confirmed infections with genomically sequenced SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and wild type between October and December 2020 were linked to routine healthcare and surveillance datasets.

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BackgroundHouseholds appear to be the highest risk setting for COVID-19 transmission. Large household transmission studies in the early stages of the pandemic in Asia reported secondary attack rates ranging from 5 to 30%.AimWe aimed to investigate the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in household and community settings in the UK.

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Background COVID-19 vaccines approved in the UK are highly effective in general population cohorts, however, data on effectiveness amongst individuals with clinical conditions that place them at increased risk of severe disease are limited. Methods We used GP electronic health record data, sentinel virology swabbing and antibody testing within a cohort of 712 general practices across England to estimate vaccine antibody response and vaccine effectiveness against medically attended COVID-19 amongst individuals in clinical risk groups using cohort and test-negative case control designs. Findings There was no reduction in S-antibody positivity in most clinical risk groups, however reduced S-antibody positivity and response was significant in the immunosuppressed group.

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Vaccines are a key part of the global strategy to tackle antimicrobial resistance (AMR) since prevention of infection should reduce antibiotic use. England commenced national rollout of a live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) programme for children aged 2-3 years together with a series of geographically discrete pilot areas for primary school age children in 2013 extending to older children in subsequent seasons. We investigated vaccine programme impact on community antibiotic prescribing rates.

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Background: In the 2016/2017 influenza season, England was in its fourth season of the roll-out of a live-attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) targeted at healthy children aged two to less than 17 years. For the first time, all healthy children aged 2 to 8 years were offered LAIV at national level in 2016/2017. Since the commencement of the programme in 2013/2014, a series of geographically discrete pilot areas have been in place where quadrivalent LAIV was also offered to all school age children.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study aimed to measure the secondary attack rates (SARs) of SARS-CoV-2 among household members of COVID-19 cases in England.
  • Results showed a 33% SAR overall, with lower transmission rates from asymptomatic cases (6%) compared to symptomatic ones (37%), highlighting age-related differences in infection rates and symptom expression.
  • The findings indicate significant household transmission risks, especially from symptomatic adults, while children had lower infection rates and exhibited fewer typical COVID-19 symptoms.
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BackgroundA multi-tiered surveillance system based on influenza surveillance was adopted in the United Kingdom in the early stages of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic to monitor different stages of the disease. Mandatory social and physical distancing measures (SPDM) were introduced on 23 March 2020 to attempt to limit transmission.AimTo describe the impact of SPDM on COVID-19 activity as detected through the different surveillance systems.

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Article Synopsis
  • * Methods: Public health professionals gathered data from 381 confirmed COVID-19 cases between January 31 and April 9, 2020, using WHO guidelines, while also monitoring a control group of 752 people who tested negative.
  • * Findings: About half of the cases were imported, mainly from Italy, with symptoms like cough and fever predominating. The study highlighted how age affected the presentation and detection of symptoms, contributing valuable insights for understanding COVID-19's impact.
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Introduction: The reopening of schools during the COVID-19 pandemic has raised concern for the safety of staff and students, their families and the wider community. We monitored SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in school-aged children and compared them with adult infection rates before and after schools reopened in England.

Methods: Public Health England receives daily electronic reports of all SARS-CoV-2 tests nationally.

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The European monitoring of excess mortality for public health action (EuroMOMO) network monitors weekly excess all-cause mortality in 27 European countries or subnational areas. During the first wave of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in Europe in spring 2020, several countries experienced extraordinarily high levels of excess mortality. Europe is currently seeing another upsurge in COVID-19 cases, and EuroMOMO is again witnessing a substantial excess all-cause mortality attributable to COVID-19.

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