Publications by authors named "Simon Procter"

Introduction: Thailand was one of the first low- and middle-income countries to publicly fund seasonal influenza vaccines, but the lack of predictability in the timing of epidemics and difficulty in predicting the dominant influenza subtypes present a challenge for existing vaccines. Next-generation influenza vaccines (NGIVs) are being developed with the dual aims of broadening the strain coverage and conferring longer-lasting immunity. However, there are no economic evaluations of NGIVs in Thailand.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Vaccination of infants with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines is recommended by the World Health Organization. Evidence is mixed regarding the differences in immunogenicity and efficacy of the different pneumococcal vaccines.

Objectives: The primary objective was to compare the immunogenicity of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-10 versus pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Maternal colonization by the bacterium Group B streptococcus (GBS) increases risk of preterm birth, a condition that has an important impact on the health of children. However, research studies that quantify the effect of GBS colonization on preterm birth have reported variable estimates of the effect measure.

Methods: We performed a simulated cohort study of pregnant women to assess how timing of exposure (GBS colonization) assessment might influence results of studies that address this question.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Introduction: There are no published data on the long-term impact of invasive group B disease (iGBS) on economic costs or health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in low-income and middle-income countries. We assessed the impact of iGBS on healthcare utilisation, costs and HRQoL in Argentina, India, Kenya, Mozambique and South Africa.

Methods: Inpatient and outpatient visits, out-of-pocket (OOP) healthcare payments in the 12 months before study enrolment, and health-state utility of children and caregivers (using the EuroQol 5-Dimensions-3-Level) were collected from iGBS survivors and an unexposed cohort matched on site, age at recruitment and sex.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • * The World Health Organization (WHO) is prioritizing the development of a GBS vaccine for pregnant women, aiming for vaccine licensure by 2026 as part of their 'Defeating Meningitis by 2030' initiative.
  • * A Vaccine Value Profile (VVP) has been created to assess the public health, economic, and societal importance of potential GBS vaccines, with input from various experts and organizations to identify research gaps using public data. *
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Next generation influenza vaccines are in development and have the potential for widespread health and economic benefits. Determining the potential health and economic impact for these vaccines is needed to drive investment in bringing these vaccines to the market, and to inform which groups public health policies on influenza vaccination should target. We used a mathematical modelling approach to estimate the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of next generation influenza vaccines in England and Wales.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

We recently published an article in BMC Medicine looking at the potential health and economic impact of paediatric vaccination using next-generation influenza vaccines in Kenya: a modelling study. In their commentary on our article, Lafond et al. highlight the potential importance of the wider benefits of vaccination on cost-effectiveness.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: WHO recommends at least 95% population coverage with two doses of measles-containing vaccine (MCV). Most countries worldwide use routine services to offer a first dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV1) and later, a second dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV2). Many countries worldwide conduct supplementary immunisation activities (SIAs), offering vaccination to all people in a specific age range irrespective of previous vaccination history.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is a leading pathogen causing life-threatening bacterial infections in neonates (early- or late-onset) and infants, and is associated with preterm and stillbirth. Japan introduced national guidelines to reduce early-onset neonatal GBS disease, with universal prenatal screening and intrapartum antimicrobial prophylaxis (IAP). However, screening/IAP does not prevent GBS associated late-onset disease, preterm or stillbirth.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

While safe and efficacious COVID-19 vaccines have achieved high coverage in high-income settings, roll-out remains slow in sub-Saharan Africa. By April 2022, Nigeria, a country of over 200 million people, had only distributed 34 million doses. To ensure the optimal use of health resources, cost-effectiveness analyses can inform key policy questions in the health technology assessment process.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Influenza is a major year-round cause of respiratory illness in Kenya, particularly in children under 5. Current influenza vaccines result in short-term, strain-specific immunity and were found in a previous study not to be cost-effective in Kenya. However, next-generation vaccines are in development that may have a greater impact and cost-effectiveness profile.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • Group B Streptococcus (GBS) can lead to serious health issues in newborns, such as sepsis and meningitis, and is linked to complications like stillbirth and preterm birth, highlighting the need for effective vaccines.* -
  • A study assessed the potential health impact and cost-effectiveness of vaccinating 140 million pregnant women globally in 2020 using a decision tree model, predicting significant reductions in infant GBS cases, deaths, and stillbirths.* -
  • The analysis estimated that a one-dose GBS vaccine program could cost about $1.7 billion but would save $385 million in healthcare costs, suggesting a positive net monetary benefit for implementing the vaccine.*
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: The COVID-19 vaccine supply shortage in 2021 constrained roll-out efforts in Africa while populations experienced waves of epidemics. As supply improves, a key question is whether vaccination remains an impactful and cost-effective strategy given changes in the timing of implementation.

Methods: We assessed the impact of vaccination programme timing using an epidemiological and economic model.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Few studies have reported the long-term consequences of bacterial meningitis during infancy, and studies that have been done usually do not include a comparison cohort. We aimed to assess short-term and long-term risk of mortality, neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI), and health-care use and household income in cohorts of children with and without a history of bacterial meningitis during infancy in Denmark and the Netherlands.

Methods: In this nationwide cohort study, infants with a history of bacterial meningitis before age 1 year were identified through the Danish Medical Birth Registry and Danish National Patient Registry using International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes and through the Netherlands Reference Laboratory for Bacterial Meningitis.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • The study examined the long-term effects of invasive group B Streptococcus (iGBS) disease in early infancy, particularly focusing on neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) in children from low- and middle-income countries.
  • It included a cohort of children aged 1.5-18 years with a history of iGBS disease and compared them to age- and sex-matched children without this history across multiple countries.
  • Results indicated that 38.1% of iGBS survivors showed some level of NDI, which is notably higher than the 21.7% observed in non-iGBS children, with more severe impairments typically seen in those who had meningitis compared to sepsis.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Group B streptococcus (GBS) colonisation during pregnancy can lead to invasive GBS disease (iGBS) in infants, including meningitis or sepsis, with a high mortality risk. Other outcomes include stillbirths, maternal infections, and prematurity. There are data gaps, notably regarding neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI), especially after iGBS sepsis, which have limited previous global estimates.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Objectives: COVID-19 has altered health sector capacity in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Cost data to inform evidence-based priority setting are urgently needed. Consequently, in this paper, we calculate the full economic health sector costs of COVID-19 clinical management in 79 LMICs under different epidemiological scenarios.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of having contingency plans for blood shortages, particularly for platelets; this study explored the impact of splitting platelet donations to increase supply.
  • Research involved modeling the effects of splitting apheresis double donations into smaller units and assessing the quality of these units by measuring key markers during storage.
  • Results showed that splitting donations increased inventory by 23% and maintained acceptable quality levels in terms of pH and other markers, suggesting that this method could be an effective strategy for managing platelet shortages.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Sepsis and meningitis are among the leading causes of neonatal deaths in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Neonatal sepsis caused ~400 000 deaths globally in 2015, half occurring in Africa. Despite this, there are few published data on the acute costs of neonatal sepsis or meningitis, with none in SSA.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Multiple Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines appear to be safe and efficacious, but only high-income countries have the resources to procure sufficient vaccine doses for most of their eligible populations. The World Health Organization has published guidelines for vaccine prioritisation, but most vaccine impact projections have focused on high-income countries, and few incorporate economic considerations. To address this evidence gap, we projected the health and economic impact of different vaccination scenarios in Sindh Province, Pakistan (population: 48 million).

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Preterm birth and neonatal infections are both associated with mortality and long-term neurodevelopmental impairments (NDIs). We examined whether the effect of invasive group B Streptococcus disease (iGBS) on mortality and long-term NDI differs for preterm and term infants, and whether co-occurrence of iGBS and prematurity leads to worse outcome.

Methods: Nationwide cohort studies of children with a history of iGBS were conducted using Danish and Dutch medical databases.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the delivery of immunisation services globally. Many countries have postponed vaccination campaigns out of concern about infection risks to the staff delivering vaccination, the children being vaccinated, and their families. The World Health Organization recommends considering both the benefit of preventive campaigns and the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission when making decisions about campaigns during COVID-19 outbreaks, but there has been little quantification of the risks.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF