Publications by authors named "Shou'en Fang"

Understanding crash causation to the extent needed for applying countermeasures has always been a focus as well as a difficulty in the field of traffic safety. Previous research has been limited by insufficient crash data and analysis methods more suitable to single crashes. The use of crashes and near crashes (CNCs) and naturalistic driving studies can help solve the data problem, and use of pre-crash scenarios can identify the high-prevalence causes across multiple crashes of a given scenario.

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Proactive lane-changing (LC) risk prediction can assist driver's LC decision-making to ensure driving safety. However, most previous studies on LC risk prediction did not consider the driver's intention recognition, which made it difficult to guarantee the timeliness and practicability of LC risk prediction. Moreover, the difference in driving risks and its influencing factors between LC to left lane (LCL) and LC to right lane (LCR) have rarely been investigated.

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Real-time driving risk status prediction is critical for developing proactive traffic intervention strategies and enhance driving safety. However, the optimal observation time window length and prediction time window length, which should be the prerequisite for the timeliness and accuracy of real-time driving risk status prediction model, have been rarely explored in previous studies. In this study, a methodology which integrates driving risk status identification, rolling time window-based feature extraction, real-time driving risk status prediction and driving risk influencing factors analysis was proposed to accurately evaluate and predict real-time driving risk status.

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Speed and speed variation are closely associated with traffic safety. There is, however, a dearth of research on this subject for the case of urban arterials in general, and in the context of developing nations. In downtown Shanghai, the traffic conditions in each direction are very different by time of day, and speed characteristics during peak hours are also greatly different from those during off-peak hours.

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The concept of crash precursor identification is gaining more practicality due to the recent advancements in Advanced Transportation Management and Information Systems. Investigating the shortcomings of the existing models, this paper proposes a new method to model the real time crash likelihood based on loop data through schematic eigenvectors. Firstly, traffic volume, occupancy and density spatiotemporal schematics in certain duration before an accident occurrence were constructed to describe the traffic flow status.

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