Publications by authors named "Shih-Hsiung Chou"

Article Synopsis
  • The study focuses on creating and validating two predictive models for patients with uncontrolled hypertension, aiming to forecast sustained uncontrolled hypertension and hypertensive crises.
  • Data from over 142,000 patients were analyzed using various machine learning frameworks, including logistic regression and gradient boosting, with a focus on factors recorded in the year leading up to their index visit.
  • Results indicated that both models demonstrated good predictive performance, with a C-statistic of 0.72 for sustained hypertension and 0.81 for hypertensive crises, outperforming standard treatment protocols across different decision-making scenarios.
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Article Synopsis
  • The study focuses on evaluating and monitoring sepsis overtreatment in emergency departments, aiming to establish criteria for detecting when antibiotics are given unnecessarily.
  • Out of over 113,000 patients, 22.5% were identified as being overtreatments for sepsis, and those patients experienced longer hospital stays, higher mortality rates, and increased risk of Clostridium difficile infections.
  • The researchers developed a reliable metric utilizing electronic health record data that can help improve the quality of sepsis treatment by addressing overtreatment issues.
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Objective: Hospital at Home (HaH) programs currently lack decision support tools to help efficiently navigate the complex decision-making process surrounding HaH as a care option. We assessed user needs and perspectives to guide early prototyping and co-creation of 4PACS (Partnering Patients and Providers for Personalized Acute Care Selection), a decision support app to help patients make an informed decision when presented with discrete hospitalization options.

Methods: From December 2021 to January 2022, we conducted semi-structured interviews via telephone with patients and caregivers recruited from Atrium Health's HaH program and physicians and a nurse with experience referring patients to HaH.

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Background: Hospital at Home (HaH) programs are used throughout the United States and are beneficial in both providing patients care in environments most comfortable to them and freeing up inpatient beds. Better informing patients about HaH programs, while promoting shared decision-making (SDM), should be prioritized by health systems. SDM apps may promote increased patient agency and understanding of complex HaH care decisions.

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Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, analytics and predictive models built on regional data provided timely, accurate monitoring of epidemiological behavior, informing critical planning and decision-making for health system leaders. At Atrium Health, a large, integrated healthcare system in the southeastern United States, a team of statisticians and physicians created a comprehensive forecast and monitoring program that leveraged an array of statistical methods.

Methods: The program utilized the following methodological approaches: (i) exploratory graphics, including time plots of epidemiological metrics with smoothers; (ii) infection prevalence forecasting using a Bayesian epidemiological model with time-varying infection rate; (iii) doubling and halving times computed using changepoints in local linear trend; (iv) death monitoring using combination forecasting with an ensemble of models; (v) effective reproduction number estimation with a Bayesian approach; (vi) COVID-19 patients hospital census monitored via time series models; and (vii) quantified forecast performance.

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Objective: To evaluate real-world implications of updated Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) recommendations for antibiotic timing.

Design: Retrospective cohort study.

Setting: Twelve hospitals in the Southeastern United States between 2017 and 2021.

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The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has infected over 414 million people worldwide with 5.8 million deaths, as of February 2022. Telemedicine-based interventions to expand healthcare systems' capacity and reduce infection risk have rapidly increased during the pandemic, despite concerns regarding equitable access.

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Sepsis survivors experience adverse outcomes including high rates of postdischarge mortality and rehospitalization. Given the heterogeneity of the condition, using a person-centered framework to identify subtypes within this population with different risks of postdischarge outcomes may optimize postsepsis care. To classify individuals into subtypes and assess the association of subtypes with 30-day rehospitalization and mortality.

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Objectives: To evaluate whether a nurse navigator-led, multicomponent Sepsis Transition And Recovery program improves 30-day mortality and readmission outcomes after sepsis hospitalization.

Desig: n: Multisite pragmatic randomized clinical trial.

Setting: Three hospitals in North Carolina from January 2019 to March 2020.

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Background: Sepsis survivors experience high morbidity and mortality, and healthcare systems lack effective strategies to address patient needs after hospital discharge. The Sepsis Transition and Recovery (STAR) program is a navigator-led, telehealth-based multicomponent strategy to provide proactive care coordination and monitoring of high-risk patients using evidence-driven, post-sepsis care tasks. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of STAR to improve outcomes for sepsis patients and to examine contextual factors that influence STAR implementation.

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Objective: To evaluate whether delay between the first and second antibiotic administered for suspected sepsis is associated with hospital mortality.

Design: Retrospective cohort.

Setting: Twelve hospitals in Southeastern United States from 2014 to 2017.

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Background: Pandemics disrupt traditional health care operations by overwhelming system resource capacity but also create opportunities for care innovation.

Objective: To describe the development and rapid deployment of a virtual hospital program, Atrium Health hospital at home (AH-HaH), within a large health care system.

Design: Prospective case series.

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Background: Emergence of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) caught the world off guard and unprepared, initiating a global pandemic. In the absence of evidence, individual communities had to take timely action to reduce the rate of disease spread and avoid overburdening their health care systems. Although a few predictive models have been published to guide these decisions, most have not taken into account spatial differences and have included assumptions that do not match the local realities.

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Importance: Risk prediction models for patients with suspected sepsis have been derived on and applied to various outcomes, including readily available outcomes such as hospital mortality and ICU admission as well as longer-term mortality outcomes that may be more important to patients. It is unknown how selecting different outcomes influences model performance in patients at risk for sepsis.

Objectives: Evaluate the impact of outcome selection on risk model performance and weighting of individual predictor variables.

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Background: Hospital mortality for patients with sepsis has recently declined, but sepsis survivors still suffer from significant long-term mortality and morbidity. There are limited data that support effective strategies to address post-discharge management of patients hospitalized with sepsis.

Methods: The Improving Morbidity during Post-Acute Care Transitions for Sepsis (IMPACTS) study is a pragmatic, randomized controlled trial at three hospitals within a single healthcare delivery system comparing clinical outcomes between sepsis survivors who receive usual care versus care delivered through the Sepsis Transition and Recovery (STAR) program.

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Postsepsis care recommendations target specific deficits experienced by sepsis survivors in elements such as optimization of medications, screening for functional impairments, monitoring for common and preventable causes of health deterioration, and consideration of palliative care. However, few data are available regarding the application of these elements in clinical practice. To quantify the delivery of postsepsis care for patients discharged after hospital admission for sepsis and evaluate the association between receipt of postsepsis care elements and reduced mortality and hospital readmission within 90 days.

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Objectives: Evaluate the accuracy of the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment tool to predict mortality across increasing levels of comorbidity burden.

Design: Retrospective observational cohort study.

Setting: Twelve acute care hospitals in the Southeastern United States.

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