A comprehensive method for causation analysis of ship-ice collision risk in Arctic waters.

The influence of harsh Arctic environmental factors has caused ship-ice collision accidents to become the main threat faced by navigating ships. It is necessary to quantify the causation of ship accidents and perform effective risk management and control measures to ensure ship navigation safety. This study proposes a Bayesian network (BN) model-based risk analysis method for ship-ice collision accidents, which is used to quantitatively analyze the key risk factors and primary risk causation paths of ship accidents.