Analysis of Lung Cancer Incidence in Non-Hispanic Black and White Americans using a Multistage Carcinogenesis Model.

Purpose: There are complex and paradoxical patterns in lung cancer incidence by race/ethnicity and gender; compared to non-Hispanic White (NHW) males, non-Hispanic Black (NHB) males smoke fewer cigarettes per day and less frequently but have higher lung cancer rates. Similarly, NHB females are less likely to smoke but have comparable lung cancer rates to NHW females. We use a multistage carcinogenesis model to study the impact of smoking on lung cancer incidence in NHB and NHW individuals in the Multiethnic Cohort Study (MEC).

Contribution of smoking, disease history, and survival to lung cancer disparities in Black individuals.

Background: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths and disproportionately affects self-identified Black or African American ("Black") people, especially considering their relatively low self-reported smoking intensity rates. This study aimed to determine the relative impact of smoking history and lung cancer incidence risk, histology, stage, and survival on these disparities.

Methods: We used 2 lung cancer models (MichiganLung-All Races and MichiganLung-Black) to understand why Black people have higher rates of lung cancer deaths.

Public health impact of a US ban on menthol in cigarettes and cigars: a simulation study.

Introduction: The US Food and Drug Administration most recently announced its intention to ban menthol cigarettes and cigars nationwide in April 2021. Implementation of the ban will require evidence that it would improve public health. This paper simulates the potential public health impact of a ban on menthol in cigarettes and cigars through its impacts on smoking initiation, smoking cessation and switching to nicotine vaping products (NVPs).

US Nicotine Vaping Product Simulation Model: The Effect of Vaping and Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking-Attributable Deaths.

The public health impact of nicotine vaping products (NVPs) is subject to a complex set of uncertain transitions between NVP and cigarette use. Instead, we apply an indirect method to gauge the impact of NVP use on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths (SADs) using the well-established tobacco control policy simulation model. Upon validating the model before NVPs were more widely used, we project a No-NVP (i.