Publications by authors named "Samuel A Canfield"
Article Synopsis
- Climate change is expected to increase the prevalence and geographical spread of infectious diseases like anthrax, particularly in regions like Kenya where knowledge about these impacts is limited.
- The study used ecological niche modeling with historical anthrax occurrence data to predict future distributions of the disease under different climate scenarios for the year 2055.
- Findings show a predicted expansion of anthrax risk areas from 36,131 km² currently to approximately 40,012 km² and 39,835 km² under climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and 8.5, respectively, with a notable northward shift in distribution.
Article Synopsis
- - Anthrax in Kenya poses significant health and economic challenges, often occurring in outbreaks involving animals and humans, with limited understanding of geographic distribution factors affecting these outbreaks.
- - A boosted regression trees (BRT) analysis was conducted on anthrax surveillance data from 2011 to 2017, revealing key environmental factors such as cattle density and rainfall that influence anthrax suitability across the region.
- - The study identified high-suitability areas for anthrax mainly in southwestern Kenya and central highlands, providing valuable information for policymakers to enhance surveillance and control strategies in agriculture and wildlife sectors.