Integrating Model-Informed Drug Development With AI: A Synergistic Approach to Accelerating Pharmaceutical Innovation.

The pharmaceutical industry constantly strives to improve drug development processes to reduce costs, increase efficiencies, and enhance therapeutic outcomes for patients. Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) uses mathematical models to simulate intricate processes involved in drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion, as well as pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics. Artificial intelligence (AI), encompassing techniques such as machine learning, deep learning, and Generative AI, offers powerful tools and algorithms to efficiently identify meaningful patterns, correlations, and drug-target interactions from big data, enabling more accurate predictions and novel hypothesis generation.

An integrated quantitative systems pharmacology virtual population approach for calibration with oncology efficacy endpoints.

In drug development, quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) models are becoming an increasingly important mathematical tool for understanding response variability and for generating predictions to inform development decisions. Virtual populations are essential for sampling uncertainty and potential variability in QSP model predictions, but many clinical efficacy endpoints can be difficult to capture with QSP models that typically rely on mechanistic biomarkers. In oncology, challenges are particularly significant when connecting tumor size with time-to-event endpoints like progression-free survival while also accounting for censoring due to consent withdrawal, loss in follow-up, or safety criteria.

Multiscale, mechanistic model of Rheumatoid Arthritis to enable decision making in late stage drug development.

Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) is a chronic autoimmune inflammatory disease that affects about 0.1% to 2% of the population worldwide. Despite the development of several novel therapies, there is only limited benefit for many patients.

Applying quantitative and systems pharmacology to drug development and beyond: An introduction to clinical pharmacologists.

Quantitative and systems pharmacology (QSP) is an innovative and integrative approach combining physiology and pharmacology to accelerate medical research. This review focuses on QSP's pivotal role in drug development and its broader applications, introducing clinical pharmacologists/researchers to QSP's quantitative approach and the potential to enhance their practice and decision-making. The history of QSP adoption reveals its impact in diverse areas, including glucose regulation, oncology, autoimmune disease, and HIV treatment.

Can a propensity score matching method be applied to assessing efficacy from single-arm proof-of-concept trials in oncology?

As a result of the escalating number of new cancer treatments being developed and competition among pharmaceutical companies, decisions regarding how to proceed with phase III trials are frequently based on findings from either single-arm phase I expansion cohorts or phase II studies that compare the efficacy of the study drug to a standard-of-care benchmark derived from historical data. However, even when eligibility criteria are matched, differences in the distribution of baseline patient features may influence the outcome of single-arm trials in real-world scenarios. Therefore, novel methods are needed to enhance the accuracy of efficacy prediction from current cohorts relative to historical data.

Incorporating lesion-to-lesion heterogeneity into early oncology decision making.

RECISTv1.1 (Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors) is the most commonly used response grading criteria in early oncology trials. In this perspective, we argue that RECISTv1.

Beyond the single average tumor: Understanding IO combinations using a clinical QSP model that incorporates heterogeneity in patient response.

A quantitative systems pharmacology model for metastatic melanoma was developed for immuno-oncology with the goal of predicting efficacy of combination checkpoint therapy with pembrolizumab and ipilimumab. This literature-based model is developed at multiple scales: (i) tumor and immune cell interactions at a lesion level; (ii) multiple heterogeneous target lesions, nontarget lesion growth, and appearance of new metastatic lesion at a patient level; and (iii) interpatient differences at a population level. The model was calibrated to pembrolizumab and ipilimumab monotherapy in patients with melanoma from Robert et al.

In vitro to in vivo extrapolation and species response comparisons for drug-induced liver injury (DILI) using DILIsym™: a mechanistic, mathematical model of DILI.

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is not only a major concern for all patients requiring drug therapy, but also for the pharmaceutical industry. Many new in vitro assays and pre-clinical animal models are being developed to help screen compounds for the potential to cause DILI. This study demonstrates that mechanistic, mathematical modeling offers a method for interpreting and extrapolating results.

A mathematical simulation of the inflammatory response to anthrax infection.

Bacillus anthracis (anthrax) can trigger an acute inflammatory response that results in multisystem organ failure and death. Previously, we developed a mathematical model of acute inflammation after gram-negative infection that had been matched qualitatively to literature data. We modified the properties of the invading bacteria in that model to those specific to B.

In silico models of acute inflammation in animals.

Trauma and hemorrhagic shock elicit an acute inflammatory response, predisposing patients to sepsis, organ dysfunction, and death. Few approved therapies exist for these acute inflammatory states, mainly due to the complex interplay of interacting inflammatory and physiological elements working at multiple levels. Various animal models have been used to simulate these phenomena, but these models often do not replicate the clinical setting of multiple overlapping insults.

The acute inflammatory response in diverse shock states.

A poorly controlled acute inflammatory response can lead to organ dysfunction and death. Severe systemic inflammation can be induced and perpetuated by diverse insults such as the administration of toxic bacterial products (e.g.

In silico design of clinical trials: a method coming of age.

Objective: To determine the feasibility and potential usefulness of mathematical models in evaluating immunomodulatory strategies in clinical trials of severe sepsis.

Design: Mathematical modeling of immunomodulation in simulated patients.

Setting: Computer laboratory.

The dynamics of acute inflammation.

When the body is infected, it mounts an acute inflammatory response to rid itself of the pathogens and restore health. Uncontrolled acute inflammation due to infection is defined clinically as sepsis and can culminate in organ failure and death. We consider a three-dimensional ordinary differential equation model of inflammation consisting of a pathogen, and two inflammatory mediators.